1996 without Perot

[Sir Mohamed]

How turns this out?

[Stan]

Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) 50,6 - 302
President George H. Bush (R-TX) 48,8 - 236

[bagelman]

Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) 50,6 - 302
President George H. Bush (R-TX) 48,8 - 236

This is 1996, not '92. Bill Clinton is already president.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Clinton/Gore - 323 EV
Dole/Kemp - 215 EV

[Kingpoleon]

323: Pres. Bill Clinton(D-NY)/Vice Pres. Al Gore(D-TE) - 51.2%
215: Sen. Bob Dole(R-KS)/Fmr. Gov. Thomas Kean(R-NJ) - 46.7%

[Stan]

Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) 50,6 - 302
President George H. Bush (R-TX) 48,8 - 236

This is 1996, not '92. Bill Clinton is already president.

You're right, is My fault, I'm sorry. I will post a new map updated as soon as possible. However, this is My - off topic - "what if" about a 1992 without Perot.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Senator Bob Dole/Governor Lamar Alexander 274 Electoral Votes 49.7%
President Bill Clinton/Vice President Al Gore 264 Electoral Votes 49.6%

[Stan]

Bill Clinton 52,6 - 367
Bob Dole 45,7 - 171

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Clinton would've won in both 1992 and 1996 without Perot.  Exit polls in 1992 showed Perot taking an equal share of votes from both major party candidates, and in 1996 people were so happy with the way things were going that any incumbent president would have won easily and decisively.  That's why turnout was so low that year.

[RI]

My guess based on the Perot vote breaking 60% Dole, 20% Clinton, 10% Other, 10% Not Vote

[UWS]

Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) 50,6 - 302
President George H. Bush (R-TX) 48,8 - 236

This is 1996, not '92. Bill Clinton is already president.

You're right, is My fault, I'm sorry. I will post a new map updated as soon as possible. However, this is My - off topic - "what if" about a 1992 without Perot.

And in addition, if George H. W. Bush is reelected in 1992 in this scenario, he can't be eligible for a third term in 1996.

[Lechasseur]

I think that Perot didn't change the outcome of the Electoral College much in 1996. Without Perot I could see Arizona, Nevada and Kentucky voting for Dole but otherwise I think the electoral map would basically look the same as what actually happened in 1996. So I'd say without Perot it would have been 359 electoral votes for Clinton and 179 for Dole, and I think in this scenario Clinton would win 53% or 54% of the popular vote.