A year ago today, if you were told that Trump and Clinton would be the nominees.
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  A year ago today, if you were told that Trump and Clinton would be the nominees.		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: A year ago today, if you were told that Trump and Clinton would be the nominees.  (Read 906 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: August 13, 2016, 02:29:23 PM »
And that Georgia would be lean D with North Carolina, Virginia and Florida mostly safe for Clinton with Utah a very competitive state, how'd you think you'd react?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2016, 02:31:53 PM »
I'd have been skeptical about Trump being the nominee, but assuming he was then the rest of it would have been quite believable.
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Famous Mortimer
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« Reply #2 on: August 13, 2016, 02:32:16 PM »
I would be surprised that Trump didn't drop out before Iowa, like I thought he would. Contingent on that not happening, everything else would have seemed plausible.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: August 13, 2016, 02:39:02 PM »
Considering I believed that Kasich had won the first debate and Trump had done terribly, I'd probably laugh to no end at the idea of Trump being the nominee. But Clinton wouldn't be a surprise.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: August 13, 2016, 02:40:18 PM »
Clinton - Not surprised at all.

Trump - Surprised, but not overly so. August 2015 was after his initial surge.

The state polls - Not surprised at all.
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mencken
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« Reply #5 on: August 13, 2016, 04:06:32 PM »
The primary result would have shocked me greatly:

Quote from: mencken on August 07, 2015, 11:52:08 AM
Bush - 40%
Walker - 15%
Cruz - 10%
Rubio - 10%
Kasich - 10%
Fiorina - 5%
Field - 10%

Field mostly represents Jindal, Christie, Paul, and the possibility of Romney being called out of retirement.

The general, not so much...

Quote from: mencken on August 07, 2015, 11:10:53 AM
....
17. Trump - paging Fred Tuttle.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #6 on: August 13, 2016, 05:02:20 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 13, 2016, 02:40:18 PM
Clinton - Not surprised at all.

Trump - Surprised, but not overly so. August 2015 was after his initial surge.

The state polls - Not surprised at all.

Yeah, by this point last year he had already survived the "he's a war hero because he was captured" and the "blood coming out of her wherever" controversies with his support intact, which would have destroyed prior insurgent candidacies. I still didn't consider him the favorite to be the nominee, but it was clear by then that he would be competitive as long as the field was as fractured as it was.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: August 13, 2016, 05:12:50 PM »
I'd be stunned that Trump actually won (not at all surprised about Hillary), and wonder why Clinton isn't winning by even more. I'd probably expect her to be up by 15 in Florida, and tied in places like Texas and Mississippi.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #8 on: August 13, 2016, 05:14:21 PM »
I'd have taken up binge drinking.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #9 on: August 13, 2016, 05:15:16 PM »
Was this already after the first debate?  I'd be completely unsurprised.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2016, 05:18:54 PM »
Not surprised at all.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2016, 05:39:49 PM »
Surprised about Trump
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Crumpets
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« Reply #12 on: August 13, 2016, 06:05:54 PM »
None of it would have really surprised me, except for Utah, even if I wouldn't have predicted it. I think everyone who wasn't a cable news pundit saw Trump as a real possibility starting about a month after he declared.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #13 on: August 13, 2016, 06:13:10 PM »
Well that was my prediction back then, so I'd be pretty satisfied.
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Fight for Trump
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« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2016, 06:22:14 PM »
I'd be looking for the Jim Webb third-party candidacy.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #15 on: August 13, 2016, 06:28:52 PM »
Clinton? Inevitable!

trump? Maybe as a third party if his ego can't take being sabotaged by the RNC to give their golden boy Rubio the spot. But no way he gets through the primaries as nominee.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #16 on: August 13, 2016, 06:31:48 PM »
Trump was leading in the polls, so not surprised in the least. Utah would've surprised me though.
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