Who will win Dutchess County NY
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  Who will win Dutchess County NY
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Question: Who will win Dutchess County NY
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Author Topic: Who will win Dutchess County NY  (Read 508 times)
jman123
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« on: August 05, 2016, 03:44:21 PM »

Very interesting County in the Hudson Valley
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2016, 03:59:36 PM »

Clinton.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2016, 04:07:20 PM »

Clinton will easily win Dutchess county (and all the other counties in New York as well).
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2016, 04:10:54 PM »

Clinton will easily win Dutchess county (and all the other counties in New York as well).

Clinton will not win every county in New York.  She will lose many Upstate counties, and probably Richmond (Staten Island).  Clinton will narrowly win Dutchess, though.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2016, 04:12:25 PM »

California tumbles into the sea
That'll be the day that Dutchess goes for Trump and Pence.
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Breton Racer
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2016, 03:12:29 AM »

Clinton will easily win Dutchess county (and all the other counties in New York as well).

Clinton will not win every county in New York.  She will lose many Upstate counties, and probably Richmond (Staten Island).  Clinton will narrowly win Dutchess, though.

You forget she was the Senator from New York going up against a man from New York who has never won statewide office, she is going to lose many upstate counties but she will definitely do better than Obama in Upstate New York. In her reelection bid she got 67% of the vote and won nearly all of New York's counties.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2016, 10:30:40 AM »

Clinton unfortunately
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2016, 10:42:22 AM »

Hillary. Why is this even a question. Dutchess might be the worst exurban county in the country for Trump. The better question is who will win Putnam (Romney by 10 in 2012 but Trump's racism is a VERY poor fit there)
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Bismarck
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« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2016, 10:44:47 AM »

Clinton will easily win Dutchess county (and all the other counties in New York as well).

Clinton will not win every county in New York.  She will lose many Upstate counties, and probably Richmond (Staten Island).  Clinton will narrowly win Dutchess, though.

You forget she was the Senator from New York going up against a man from New York who has never won statewide office, she is going to lose many upstate counties but she will definitely do better than Obama in Upstate New York. In her reelection bid she got 67% of the vote and won nearly all of New York's counties.

Lol.
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2016, 10:48:56 AM »

In fact I'll go through all of the NYC suburbs and exurbs north of the city and give you margins

Westchester: Clinton 63, Trump 30, Johnson 4, Stein 3
Rockland: Clinton 54, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 1
Orange: Clinton 51, Trump 46, Johnson 3, Stein 2
Ulster: Clinton 55, Trump 37, Stein 5, Johnson 3
Putnam: Clinton 48, Trump 46, Johnson 5, Stein 1

And Dutchess: Clinton 53, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 3
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dspNY
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« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2016, 10:52:57 AM »

Clinton will easily win Dutchess county (and all the other counties in New York as well).

She will not win every county in NY. Many of the Western NY counties that border PA will go to Trump. She could lose a couple of the counties that border Vermont due to #BernieOrBust anger
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2016, 11:18:15 AM »

In fact I'll go through all of the NYC suburbs and exurbs north of the city and give you margins

Westchester: Clinton 63, Trump 30, Johnson 4, Stein 3
Rockland: Clinton 54, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 1
Orange: Clinton 51, Trump 46, Johnson 3, Stein 2
Ulster: Clinton 55, Trump 37, Stein 5, Johnson 3
Putnam: Clinton 48, Trump 46, Johnson 5, Stein 1

And Dutchess: Clinton 53, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 3
This. Judge Jeanine Pirro could make Westchester County closer than that, though. She has a base that could help Trump in some of these areas, but not enough to win the county.
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cinyc
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« Reply #12 on: August 06, 2016, 01:48:19 PM »

Hillary. Why is this even a question. Dutchess might be the worst exurban county in the country for Trump. The better question is who will win Putnam (Romney by 10 in 2012 but Trump's racism is a VERY poor fit there)

I'm not sure why Putnam is a bad fit for Trump.  He won the primary there handily, and the county is full of the same type of white ethnics that you see on Staten Island - especially Italian Americans.  It's much whiter than the rest of the state and traditionally Republican.  The only bad metric that could hurt Trump is that Putnam has more college educated whites than the rest of the state, but not by much.  Trump should win it.  In fact, it will be Trump's best county in the New York part of the NYC metro.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #13 on: August 06, 2016, 02:54:42 PM »

In fact I'll go through all of the NYC suburbs and exurbs north of the city and give you margins

Westchester: Clinton 63, Trump 30, Johnson 4, Stein 3
Rockland: Clinton 54, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 1
Orange: Clinton 51, Trump 46, Johnson 3, Stein 2
Ulster: Clinton 55, Trump 37, Stein 5, Johnson 3
Putnam: Clinton 48, Trump 46, Johnson 5, Stein 1

And Dutchess: Clinton 53, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 3
This. Judge Jeanine Pirro could make Westchester County closer than that, though. She has a base that could help Trump in some of these areas, but not enough to win the county.

I fail to understand this obsession with Jeanine Pirro tbh I highly doubt anyone who isn't a hardcore Trumper really cares enough about her to be swayed by her
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bronz4141
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« Reply #14 on: August 06, 2016, 02:55:38 PM »

In fact I'll go through all of the NYC suburbs and exurbs north of the city and give you margins

Westchester: Clinton 63, Trump 30, Johnson 4, Stein 3
Rockland: Clinton 54, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 1
Orange: Clinton 51, Trump 46, Johnson 3, Stein 2
Ulster: Clinton 55, Trump 37, Stein 5, Johnson 3
Putnam: Clinton 48, Trump 46, Johnson 5, Stein 1

And Dutchess: Clinton 53, Trump 41, Johnson 3, Stein 3
This. Judge Jeanine Pirro could make Westchester County closer than that, though. She has a base that could help Trump in some of these areas, but not enough to win the county.

I fail to understand this obsession with Jeanine Pirro tbh I highly doubt anyone really cares enough about her to be swayed by her who isn't already a hardcore Trumper

Pirro was Westchester County DA. She has influence. She knows more about Hillary Clinton than anyone in the media right now.
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SteveRogers
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« Reply #15 on: August 06, 2016, 10:26:21 PM »

This. Judge Jeanine Pirro could make Westchester County closer than that, though. She has a base that could help Trump in some of these areas, but not enough to win the county.

Bronz, this isn't the first time you've mentioned Jeanine Pirro recently. What exactly has brought you to believe that she's some kind of movement leader? Like, you're probably right that many potential Trump supporters watch her show on Fox News, but among Fox News personalities and their impact on Republican politics she must be orders of magnitude less influential than, say, Hannity.

Pirro was Westchester County DA. She has influence. She knows more about Hillary Clinton than anyone in the media right now.

Bronz, serious question: why, when pressed to explain your views, do your responses always raise so many more questions than they answer? You can't just throw out brief conclusory statements totally devoid of any analytical content and expect not to be challenged when you say something bizarre. This one here is so inexplicable that I don't know how to respond to it. How many Americans do you think can name the DA from their county from a decade ago? What influence do you think such person has on elections in a given county? And are you implying that Jeanine Pirro actually has some secret dirt on Hillary? Or is this just a thing where you've started watching her show and like her digs at Hillary?
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