What are Trump's chances?

[Dutch Conservative]

Clinton/Trump 70/30 at this moment.

Trump is having a hard time to get over 45% in polls. He really needs to unite the party and organise his campaign.

If Clintons numbers aren't getting better in the coming weeks, the chances for Trump will grow. He had some bad weeks.

[Meclazine for Israel]

75%

Care to explain your reasoning?

I think people forget it's still June.

Just adding that in as Option 4.

Just because someone write's something on an internet forum does not mean that is going to be the election result.

People are writing very final statements on this forum that are nothing to do with reality 6 months out.

If Donald Trump becomes President of the USA, 96% of the comments on these forums become meaningless garbage.

People get a bit wound up in each other's posts and convince themselves Trump wont be President.

I am not saying he will be or even saying I would like him to be.

Finding the whole Hillary mania comes in swings and roundabouts.

The campaign will be fascinating, but writing such final and conclusive statements in June is pretty naive.

Not to mention that response such people spit out if someone disagrees with them.

[MK]

75%

Care to explain your reasoning?

I think people forget it's still June.

Just adding that in as Option 4.

Just because someone write's something on an internet forum does not mean that is going to be the election result.

People are writing very final statements on this forum that are nothing to do with reality 6 months out.

If Donald Trump becomes President of the USA, 96% of the comments on these forums become meaningless garbage.

People get a bit wound up in each other's posts and convince themselves Trump wont be President.

I am not saying he will be or even saying I would like him to be.

Finding the whole Hillary mania comes in swings and roundabouts.

The campaign will be fascinating, but writing such final and conclusive statements in June is pretty naive.

Not to mention that response such people spit out if someone disagrees with them.

Especially when external events beyond campaigns control can take place.    See Orlando currently.