Since the beginning of the primary season, do you think Trump now has....
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  Since the beginning of the primary season, do you think Trump now has....
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Question: A better or worse shot at becoming #45?
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Author Topic: Since the beginning of the primary season, do you think Trump now has....  (Read 985 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: May 22, 2016, 03:58:29 PM »

Since Jan 1st, has Trump's chances gone up or down? If I had to be a betting man, which Lord knows I am not, I would probably say his chances have gone up towards being our next President. I only think so now because the Republican party is uniting behind Donald Trump.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2016, 04:34:58 PM »

Since January 1? Obviously way better. Trump wasn't the likeliest individual to become the nominee until after the ABC News debate in New Hampshire (Feb 6), and his nomination wasn't a >50% chance scenario until Cruz and Kasich announced their deal publicly and tanked in the Acela primary (don't remember the exact date, but sometime in very late April).
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dax00
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2016, 04:38:06 PM »

About the same. I think I gave him a coin flip's odds back then as well.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2016, 04:38:50 PM »

Worse. I'd say he had a shot at winning the presidency. Now his chance is zero.
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Ljube
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« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2016, 04:40:14 PM »

I already thought highly of Trump since the moment he announced and had a bet with a friend of mine, who bet on Jeb!

I consider Trump a once in a lifetime political genius. Nothing so far has convinced me otherwise.

Therefore I say his odds at becoming President are the same. He was the only Pub candidate who had a shot.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2016, 04:41:34 PM »

Objectively, better odds, of course.  I still think he's very much an underdog, though.  Perhaps a 10% chance of winning the presidency, if we're being generous.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2016, 04:45:21 PM »

Quote
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I hope he's paying you money that hasn't been handled by Jews.
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Ljube
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« Reply #7 on: May 22, 2016, 04:47:00 PM »

Quote
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I hope he's paying you money that hasn't been handled by Jews.

What is the reason for your fascination with Jews?
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2016, 04:50:58 PM »

You tell me, Mr. "Renegade Jew"
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Ljube
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« Reply #9 on: May 22, 2016, 04:59:07 PM »


That was in reference to a Breitbart article and Kristol calling himself a renegade in his article.
What’s wrong with you?
Are you so completely PC brainwashed that you are unable to understand that that was just a figure of speech?

That's what's wrong with this country and that's what Trump's gonna change.
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Vosem
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« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2016, 05:58:55 PM »

That's what's wrong with this country and that's what Trump's gonna change.


Nah, the only thing Trump is changing is moving the number of presidential Republican Party voters in a negative direction.
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LLR
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« Reply #11 on: May 22, 2016, 05:59:41 PM »


That was in reference to a Breitbart article and Kristol calling himself a renegade in his article.
What’s wrong with you?
Are you so completely PC brainwashed that you are unable to understand that that was just a figure of speech?

That's what's wrong with this country and that's what Trump's gonna change.


To be fair, Trump has exhibited very anti-Semitic tendencies in the past and has said some... racy things about us. I agree that he shouldn't be pushing this scenario so hard, but Trump says he wants to say "Merry Christmas" again (Hello, we get holidays too, ***hole), and it's not outlandish to call him anti-Semitic.
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: May 22, 2016, 06:03:34 PM »


That was in reference to a Breitbart article and Kristol calling himself a renegade in his article.
What’s wrong with you?
Are you so completely PC brainwashed that you are unable to understand that that was just a figure of speech?

That's what's wrong with this country and that's what Trump's gonna change.


To be fair, Trump has exhibited very anti-Semitic tendencies in the past and has said some... racy things about us. I agree that he shouldn't be pushing this scenario so hard, but Trump says he wants to say "Merry Christmas" again (Hello, we get holidays too, ***hole), and it's not outlandish to call him anti-Semitic.

Well, I'm not anti-Semitic even if Trump is. There is no reason to call me anti-Semitic.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #13 on: May 22, 2016, 06:05:27 PM »


That was in reference to a Breitbart article and Kristol calling himself a renegade in his article.
What’s wrong with you?
Are you so completely PC brainwashed that you are unable to understand that that was just a figure of speech?

That's what's wrong with this country and that's what Trump's gonna change.


To be fair, Trump has exhibited very anti-Semitic tendencies in the past and has said some... racy things about us. I agree that he shouldn't be pushing this scenario so hard, but Trump says he wants to say "Merry Christmas" again (Hello, we get holidays too, ***hole), and it's not outlandish to call him anti-Semitic.

Well, I'm not anti-Semitic even if Trump is. There is no reason to call me anti-Semitic.

I'm not calling you anti-Semitic (he might be, I have no clue at this point). Yes, you're doing nothing wrong (besides supporting Trump lol)
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: May 22, 2016, 06:10:20 PM »

Better but largely because he is the Republican nominee now, I did not consider him the favorite back on January 1st for the GOP Nomination. However he still is a large underdog against Hillary Clinton, I give him a 30% chance at winning in November.   
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RightBehind
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« Reply #15 on: May 22, 2016, 07:30:28 PM »

Worse. I'd say he had a shot at winning the presidency. Now his chance is zero.

I hope you're right. I sadly fear otherwise.
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