What are the odds that Kasich and Rubio will release their delegates to Cruz?
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  What are the odds that Kasich and Rubio will release their delegates to Cruz?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: What are the odds that Kasich and Rubio will release their delegates to Cruz?  (Read 328 times)
White Trash
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« on: April 20, 2016, 10:00:50 AM »
If every single Rubio and Kasich delegate swings over to Cruz, the Texas senator actually has more than Trump. Rubio has given some inclination that he is considering releasing to Cruz. But will Kasich do the same? Will all of the delegates actually comply?
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2016, 10:11:22 AM »
They won't have more than Trump combined by the time the convention rolls around even if he underperforms from here on out, so the point is moot.
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Erc
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2016, 11:01:23 AM »
The risk that some of them switch to Trump on the first ballot is too great; there's very little reason to be overaggressive and go for a first ballot win (when he likely wouldn't get it anyway; some delegates can't be released period on the first ballot) when you can just wait for Trump to collapse on later ballots.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2016, 09:49:41 AM »
No.  I predict that Kasich and Rubio will keep their delegates on the first ballot.  Rubio will release his and get behind Cruz on the second ballot.  Kasich will stay in for a while.
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