How would the following Demographic groups vote in a Trump vs clinton Election

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Here is my guess based on how a 2016 hypothetical exit poll would look like (note I have given 2% to other in each category)

Here are my guess's
Gender
Male Clinton 53-45
Female Clinton 59-39

Race
White Trump 53-45
Black Clinton 90-8
Hispanic Clinton  80-18
Asian's Clinton 78-20

Age
18-29 Clinton 64-34
30-44 Clinton 57-41
45-64 Clinton 54-44
65+ Trump 52-46


Education
No College Degree Clinton 55-43
Some College Clinton 54-44
College Clinton 56-42
Post Grad 60-38


Income
Under $30,000 Clinton 63-35
$30,000 - $49,999 Clinton 61-37
$50,000 or more Clinton 54-44
$100,000 or more Clinton 53-45

Ideology
Liberal  Clinton 93-5
Moderate Clinton 65-33
Conservative Trump 77-31

Political Party
Democrat Clinton 89-9
Republican 86-12
Independent/Other Clinton 55-43

[Virginiá]

Here is my guess based on how a 2016 hypothetical exit poll would look like (note I have given 2% to other in each category)

Here are my guess's
Gender
Male Clinton 53-45
Female Clinton 59-39

Race
White Trump 53-45
Black Clinton 90-8
Hispanic Clinton  80-18
Asian's Clinton 78-20

Age
18-29 Clinton 64-34
30-44 Clinton 57-41
45-64 Clinton 54-44
65+ Trump 52-46

Those numbers seem good. A lot of more comprehensive polls show very similar results for the 18-29 vote. I think she will end up getting a point or two more of the black vote, though.

Not going to speculate on the other groups.

[Mr. Morden]

Here is my guess based on how a 2016 hypothetical exit poll would look like (note I have given 2% to other in each category)

Here are my guess's
Gender
Male Clinton 53-45
Female Clinton 59-39

I highly doubt the gender gap would be that small in a Clinton vs. Trump race.  Only a 12 point gap between men and women?  That would be narrower than almost every presidential election since 1980:



[The above is from 538, posted during the 2012 campaign, so 2012 numbers were based on polling at the time.  But the eventual gender gap looked similar to those numbers, though Obama did better with both men and women than the polling at that time.]