What would lead to this map?
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  What would lead to this map?
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Blue3
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« on: March 27, 2016, 04:49:56 PM »

What would lead to this map happening, in 2020 or 2024?

It's basically all the "usual" swing states for one party... but every other state for the opposite party.

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2016, 05:12:50 PM »

I added this up mentally of how I think the electoral votes will work out and I think blue will have something around 210 and the rest 328.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2016, 05:15:14 PM »

So the states in blue are the swing states, right? Yeah, I have no idea what could possibly lead to one party winning both Democratic and Republican strongholds bit losing swings states, at least not in an election that close to now.
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2016, 05:30:22 PM »

I'd flip New Mexico and Montana.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2016, 07:02:34 PM »

If you want to include GA and AZ (R+6 and R+7) as swing states, you need to add states like Oregon, Washington, New Mexico, and New Jersey (all D+7 or less)
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2016, 09:32:48 PM »

Joe Sestak/Ben Chandler v. Charlie Baker/Lisa Murkowski
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Crumpets
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« Reply #6 on: April 01, 2016, 11:23:46 AM »

Maybe a very liberal-leaning Jon Huntsman/Susan Collins ticket vs. a working-class Rust Belt/Latino ticket for the Dems, say Brenda Lawrence/Tom Perez. Meanwhile a "party of the partisans" starts up to counter the disturbing moderate heroism and nominates Kate Brown/Pat McCrory, which wins 23% nationwide, but doesn't carry a single state.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #7 on: April 01, 2016, 08:46:50 PM »

Our universe and the West Wing universe switching places
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President Johnson
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« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2016, 06:58:43 AM »

Computers, that can't count votes.
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Camaro33
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« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2016, 06:04:12 PM »

Republicans from various states move to other states, but by just enough quantities to win some of those by the slimmest margins.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #10 on: April 03, 2016, 08:04:38 PM »

Republicans from various states move to other states, but by just enough quantities to win some of those by the slimmest margins.

I wonder if this type of strategy has ever been tried?
 
Have Republicans from surrounding Democratic states cross into a swing state (like NY, NJ, DE, and MD Republicans could all move to PA).  You also decrease the EC votes of the blue states after the next redistricting.  It could also be tried with red states, like having some AL and GA Republicans move to FL or some NE and SD Republicans move to IA.  But, you have to be careful there not to have too many move, and it wouldn't have the same EC benefit as the reverse.
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Lord_Bubbington
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« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2016, 05:50:00 AM »

Republicans from various states move to other states, but by just enough quantities to win some of those by the slimmest margins.

I wonder if this type of strategy has ever been tried?
 
Have Republicans from surrounding Democratic states cross into a swing state (like NY, NJ, DE, and MD Republicans could all move to PA).  You also decrease the EC votes of the blue states after the next redistricting.  It could also be tried with red states, like having some AL and GA Republicans move to FL or some NE and SD Republicans move to IA.  But, you have to be careful there not to have too many move, and it wouldn't have the same EC benefit as the reverse.

The problem is people tend to rather like where they live, so for the most part you either need to spend a ton of money per relocation (upwards of 50-100k per). This did actually happen though, in the mid 19th century many pro-slavery and anti-slavery people moved into states that were voting on the issue (states used to do that upon becoming a state), Bloody Kansas being the most famous.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #12 on: April 06, 2016, 02:01:13 PM »

Some extremist ticket made up of two candidates from both ends of the spectrum; somehow they have worked out a deal to push through some very liberal and some very conservative plans. The other ticket is a moderate/status quo ticket? That the best I can guess.
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JohnathanOHughes
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« Reply #13 on: April 16, 2016, 03:23:44 PM »

Presidential Election of 2048.

Democratic Candidate Info:
Governor of Maine.
2047- Present
(Still getting to be known, very warm and friendly)
-Less Experience

Republican Candidate Info:
Vice President of the United States
2041- Present
(Seems cold, not friendly and warm)
-Tons of Experience

Score:
Democrat: 272 electoral votes *
Republican: 266 electoral votes
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JohnathanOHughes
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« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2016, 03:42:06 PM »

-In the next 4 to 8 years, either there would be very odd candidates from 2 of those states who share values with the others, or that beliefs changed dramatically in the states or the parties, those are the only possible ways I see.
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