What counties will Rubio win?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 14, 2024, 03:53:10 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  What counties will Rubio win?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What counties will Rubio win?  (Read 670 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 28, 2016, 06:33:31 PM »

This is actually pretty easy since Rubio's best demographics thus far have been urban, higher income, higher education, suburban Republicans. Here's the counties I think he has a shot to win...

Alabama: Jefferson and Shelby (coincidence that it includes the first and last names of the Senators)
Alaska: No idea
Arkansas: Saline, Faulkner, Benton
Georgia: Fulton, DeKalb, has some shot at Cobb and Gwinnett
Massachusetts: Middlesex?
Minnesota: The ring: Washington, Dakota, Anoka, Scott, etc.
Oklahoma: Seems like Cruz would steal votes away from Rubio here, but if anything the two big ones.
Tennessee: Williamson, Davidson, Sumner, etc.
Texas: None (since Cruz will win with the generalized Rubio demographic here)
Vermont: Don't know
Virginia: All of Northern Virginia, Virginia Beach, Chesterfield and Henrico
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,804


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2016, 07:58:05 PM »

I would add Shelby, Rutherford, and Knox for Rubio in Tennessee
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,720


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2016, 08:28:28 PM »

There's no way you're going to tell which "counties" Rubio wins in Alaska.  Results will only be broken down by House District.  Some of them span multiple Alaska County equivalents (though we probably can easily tell who wins Anchorage, Juneau, Kenai Peninsula Borough, and, if it's not close, Mat-Su Borough).

Rubio's best shot in Alaska is probably in the Southeast (Juneau, Ketchikan, Sitka, etc.), which is more liberal than the rest.  Anchorage will probably vote like the rest of the state.  The conservative Kenai and Mat-Su areas could be Trump's best area.  Especially Mat-Su, since Palin is from there and it is fairly downscale/exurban.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,579
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2016, 08:44:14 PM »

This is actually pretty easy since Rubio's best demographics thus far have been urban, higher income, higher education, suburban Republicans. Here's the counties I think he has a shot to win...

Alabama: Jefferson and Shelby (coincidence that it includes the first and last names of the Senators)
Alaska: No idea
Arkansas: Saline, Faulkner, Benton
Georgia: Fulton, DeKalb, has some shot at Cobb and Gwinnett
Massachusetts: Middlesex?
Minnesota: The ring: Washington, Dakota, Anoka, Scott, etc.
Oklahoma: Seems like Cruz would steal votes away from Rubio here, but if anything the two big ones.
Tennessee: Williamson, Davidson, Sumner, etc.
Texas: None (since Cruz will win with the generalized Rubio demographic here)
Vermont: Don't know
Virginia: All of Northern Virginia, Virginia Beach, Chesterfield and Henrico

Based on previous exit polls on Trump dominating with veterans, he will win Virginia Beach.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.219 seconds with 14 queries.