Clinton v Sanders, who will win?

[°Leprechaun]

I see a lot of confidence that Clinton is the inevitable nominee. The Republican candidates talk about her as if she has already won.
I vote "too close to call", at this point.
I was very curious to see if my suspicions are right, that most people think that she is the inevitable or at least likely winner.

[madelka]

Still safe Clinton (not delusional)

[DrScholl]

There is no question that Hillary will win. The only question is if Sanders runs as a third party out of spite.

[madelka]

There is no question that Hillary will win. The only question is if Sanders runs as a third party out of spite.

Not happening. All the old loon wants is attention and not helping elect a Republican (even though he would do just that if he got the nomination).

[Gass3268]

Lean Clinton

[Boston Bread]

Lean Clinton, but it could shift if Sanders gets significant momentum from NH.

[°Leprechaun]

So far strongly Clinton which is what I expected, and I think that the current trend will continue.

[The Other Castro]

Lean Clinton, Nevada will be Sanders' Hispanic test.

[President Johnson]

Bernie has no chance against Hillary.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Bernie needs to win Nevada. If he can expand his coalition to include Hispanics, he'll have a fighting chance. Winning SC is still highly unlikely. If he can keep the margin below 22.4 (his margin over Clinton in NH), it won't be as bad for him.

I'd give Bernie a 15% chance at winning the nomination.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Upset in NV, barring that or email smoking gun, he will lose

[eric82oslo]

It will be close for a long time, but in the end I think Hillary will win 55-60% of all delegates (helped a lot by winning 98% of all superdelegates), while Sanders will win the remaining 40-45%.

[Podgy the Bear]

Hillary will get it.  Sanders has reached his high point.  He will win other states and will come close in others,   But don't forget the superdelegates-- there is simply too much establishment support for Hillary and it will be impossible for Sanders to overcome this.

[Panhandle Progressive]

STRONG CLINTON

She would have to drop dead for Bernie to win instead.

[RaphaelDLG]

He has already won in that he has pushed Clinton to be more populist/less corrupt.  OTOH, despite the amazing performance in New Hampshire, the race clearly Leans Clinton, and I have a feeling he's about to get the Howie Dean treatment...

[Antonio the Sixth]

Probably Hillary, but it's worth putting up a fight.

[indysaff]

Hillary in all likelihood, but it's worth putting up a fight.

Agreed. Six months ago, I was 100 percent sure Hillary would win without a struggle. Things finally got interesting though.

[YPestis25]

Heavily leaning Clinton still. As others have said, I won't be convinced that Bernie can go the distance unless he wins Nevada.

[SNJ1985]

Lean Clinton

[SillyAmerican]

Heavily leaning Clinton still. As others have said, I won't be convinced that Bernie can go the distance unless he wins Nevada.

Realistically, this. If Bernie wins Nevada, all bets are off (although he'd still have an uphill battle).

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The clowns on here are hilarious. This is now becoming a race stop denying it people.

[IceSpear]

The clowns on here are hilarious. This is now becoming a race stop denying it people.

We'll know by March 2nd if it's a race or not.

[This account no longer in use.]

Lean Clinton currently, although the race will become a tossup if Sanders wins Nevada.

[Bull Moose Base]

Sanders is attracting some black opinion leaders but Obama is the biggest one of all and his and Hillary's mutual admiration society will probably be enough to block Sanders from many more New Hampshires. I still think she's a strong favorite but she will find herself a nominee with a real problem with young voters. Sanders, far more rational than she will have portrayed him, will do what he can to rally his supporters to turn out for her. Without them, she'd lose to even Cruz. He'll give a Ted Kennedyesque speech at the convention except one that more directly urges voting for the Democratic nominee who beat him. She won't start campaigning for single payer but in a number of ways, the competition he posed will have pushed her to the left, presumably Sanders's original hope for his candidacy.

[IceSpear]

The clowns on here are hilarious. This is now becoming a race stop denying it people.

This is a race in the same way Reagan vs. Mondale was a race.

Uh, Mondale won a state. Didn't you know that makes it a toss up?