Morning Consult national poll: Trump 36% Carson 12% Cruz 11% Rubio 9% Bush 7%

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Dec. 16-17:

pdf link

Trump 36%
Carson 12%
Cruz 11%
Rubio 9%
Bush 7%
Paul 3%
Christie 2%
Fiorina 2%

[Landslide Lyndon]

[Lief 🗽]

Looks like the live polls are more pro TRUMP than the Internet polls now!!

[Holmes]

I love these kinds of polls but they really don't reflect at all what's going on in Iowa or New Hampshire.

[Mr. Morden]

Crosstabs:

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/151205_crosstabs_Post_v3_AP.pdf

The only demo in which Trump doesn’t lead: those with a post-grad education.  Rubio narrowly leads among those voters.

By region:

Midwest:
Trump 34%
Carson 12%
Cruz 12%
Rubio 7%

Northeast:
Trump 32%
Bush 13%
Christie 7%
Carson 6%
Rubio 6%

South:
Trump 36%
Cruz 15%
Carson 14%
Rubio 9%

West:
Trump 40%
Carson 12%
Rubio 11%
Cruz 8%

rural:
Trump 42%
Carson 10%
Cruz 10%
Rubio 9%

suburban:
Trump 33%
Carson 15%
Cruz 13%
Bush 7%
Rubio 7%

urban:
Trump 32%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 11%
Carson 7%

[weixiaobao]

I don't really care for Morning Consult.  I think YouGov, Reuters, and Gravis are probably better pollster among the bottom tier pollsters.

But, Trump hasn't been doing that well in the West.  If Morning Consult is correct then this is interesting.  Nor has he been as strong in the Midwest compare to the South and the North East.

What interesting here is that his Northeast numbers seemed to be the weakest.