Why Blair won, why Howard lost, why Kennedy did well- Silent Hunter's analysis

[minionofmidas]

Don't really know the area that well but looking at the census tables of those listing "No Religion" (this isn't a brilliant indicator but as I don't know the area it's the best thing to use) Medway Towns UA has one of the lowest %'s for any of the large LA's in the Southeast region (and 1% above the national average) while both Dartford and Swale (Sittingbourne & Sheppy + Faversham) are more-or-less in line with the national average.

I will add that only 9% of the population of the London Borough of Harrow listed themselves as having "No Religion".

...although this may be due more to the area's large Hindu and Jewish populations than anything else.
An agnostic minority member is probably much less likely to state "no religion" than an agnostic of CoE ancestry.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

...although this may be due more to the area's large Hindu and Jewish populations than anything else.

True. It's also interesting to note that despite Howard's Jewish background (which he played down and has always played down), the Tories did notably worse in London suburban seats with large Jewish populations than in suburban seats with small to tiny Jewish populations. Blacklash to the dog whistle strategy perhaps?

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Hindu maybe, Jewish no. Quite the reverse actually...

[Rural Radical]

Unlike the states. The Religous vote tends to be more favourable to the Centre- Left than the Right in British Politics.

[JohnFKennedy]

Unlike the states. The Religous vote tends to be more favourable to the Centre- Left than the Right in British Politics.

Depends on the religion, Anglicans are more likely to vote for the Conservative party whereas Catholics are more likely to vote for Labour.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Unlike the states. The Religous vote tends to be more favourable to the Centre- Left than the Right in British Politics.

Depends on the religion, Anglicans are more likely to vote for the Conservative party whereas Catholics are more likely to vote for Labour.

There's always been a Labour-ish minority in the CofE though (the late David Sheppard comes to mind) although they tend to be either Low Church types or almost Catholics.
I have a list of approximate voting patterns by religious denomination somewhere... see if I can find it...

[Democratic Hawk]

Unlike the states. The Religous vote tends to be more favourable to the Centre- Left than the Right in British Politics.

Depends on the religion, Anglicans are more likely to vote for the Conservative party whereas Catholics are more likely to vote for Labour.

Check out this link: www.thetablet.co.uk/cgi-bin/register.cgi/tablet-01030

Dave

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm always slightly dubious about exit polls by religion (although I admit that this is partly because my denomination is too small to show up on such a poll with any degree of accuracy; mind you everyone knows how we vote anyway so the point is moot...) but there's an interest pattern with this if you treat the CofE as the only mainline denomination (and you might as well; most non-CofE churches in the U.K have always had an evangelical bent).
Compare with the U.S exit polls.