Missouri

[classical liberal]

Has anyone seen any polls from MO?  The last I saw was from 2 months ago.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Has anyone seen any polls from MO?  The last I saw was from 2 months ago.

I don't know, but do you have any reason to think Kit Bond might lose?  The Dems had a hell of a time even finding a candidate.

[classical liberal]

Every poll I've seen puts Farmers name recognition and her support in a head-to-head against Bond virtually even.  Her name rec was at 1/3 a couple months ago; I was wondering what it is now and whether her support is still even with it.  Most polls I've seen had Bond hovering at 50% with no challenger.  If Farmer is a strong enough candidate to have almost everyone who's heard of her vote for her, then Bond will loose if her name rec is above 1/2 by November.  However the numbers I saw from Jan and Feb were the same.

[opebo]

People have been predicting Bond's defeat for decades, and he always wins, though fairly narrowly.  We'll keep him, I'm sure.  

[Ben.]

True Opebo…

I’d say that Bond being defeated would be an upset however not a shocking one…

Farmer is a good candidate and Bond wont sweep to victory however I say that he should win, however as I said above Farmer does have a shot at an upset result… as does Eric Fingerhut against George Voinovich in Ohio (where the likely concentration of Kerry’s efforts should also act as a rising tide for Fingerhut, imho)… but I’d say Ohio and Missouri are the potential surprise wins for the Dems and Illinois and Wisconsin could  be surprise wins for the GOP (however a GOP win in Illinois would be far more likely than in Feingold country )