538: Sanders not Obama, 2016 primary different than 2008
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  538: Sanders not Obama, 2016 primary different than 2008
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Author Topic: 538: Sanders not Obama, 2016 primary different than 2008  (Read 677 times)
Skye
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« on: August 20, 2015, 12:55:28 PM »

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/bernie-sanders-youre-no-barack-obama/
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inb4 538 sucks, Sanders has a real chance, Hillary is not inevitable.

I think it's a pretty good read. Thoughts?
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2015, 12:59:03 PM »

For real though, I'm glad someone finally said 538 sucks.  It's been so disappointing.  In 2008 and 2012 Nate Silver was fantastic, and then he hired a bunch of kids who couldn't get into Gawker and now it's just all cheap throwaway articles with shallow analysis.

That said this article is obviously misleading because 2008 was a three-way race with Edwards while 2016 is a two-way race.  I bet Sanders is polling ahead of Obama in a lot of those states too.

Also I think the lack of party support for Sanders may be because he isn't a Democrat...
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2015, 01:05:44 PM »

And by the way, last time I checked Chris Christie was leading their endorsement primary (or maybe he was in close second)... so much for that.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2015, 01:13:13 PM »

To be fair, this was written by Harry Enten, so there's no reasonable expectation of good quality.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2015, 03:35:12 PM »

We get it, Harry Enten doesn't like Sanders. *yawn* Hasn't he posted this same sh**t a bunch of times?
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2015, 03:38:14 PM »

Well, he's right of course.  The only way I see Clinton loosing is if she's indicted.
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