Accuweather 2014-15 Winter Outlook
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Author Topic: Accuweather 2014-15 Winter Outlook  (Read 260 times)
Frodo
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« on: October 15, 2014, 11:53:28 PM »

Click the image for the article:

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2014, 12:07:53 AM »

And for our friends in the British isles, there is a hint for how your winter will turn out: brutal.  Nothing official, but still.  We're having it relatively easy compared to you if all this pans out as predicted.  

If I recall, they predicted a brutal winter on par with 1947... it had some nasty storms to be sure.... but certainly not the Narnia-like winter they were predicting this time last year.

Whereas we're being told to prepare for an evil summer, hotter, drier and therefore bushfire-prone.
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dead0man
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2014, 04:11:20 AM »

That's the most generic long range forecast I've ever seen.  Snowy in the places just east of the great lakes?  SAY IT AINT SO!  Cold in the midwest?  You're sh**tting me!  Ice threat in the upper south?  Doesn't that happen 3 to 6 times every winter?  Severe Thunderstorms in Florida?  uggggg

This is like predicting that there is going to be an earthquake in the Pacific Rim or that some idiot is going to predict that the second term President has some sneaky trick that he's going to pull to stay in office like invade Iran or start an Ebola pandemic.
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YL
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2014, 04:24:38 AM »

And for our friends in the British isles, there is a hint for how your winter will turn out: brutal.  Nothing official, but still.  We're having it relatively easy compared to you if all this pans out as predicted.  

If I recall, they predicted a brutal winter on par with 1947... it had some nasty storms to be sure.... but certainly not the Narnia-like winter they were predicting this time last year.

Whereas we're being told to prepare for an evil summer, hotter, drier and therefore bushfire-prone.

The Daily Express (which is what the link is pointing to) has a habit of giving over its front page to sensational long range weather forecasts and then saying very little about them when they turn out to be false.  That is when it's not talking about Princess Diana or having a go at immigrants.

In general (for the UK at any rate) I think long range forecasts are rather better at getting publicity than they are at actually forecasting the weather.
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