2016 Republican Nomination Poll - June 2014

[RR1997]

Me thinks it will be Jeb Bush.

[Likely Voter]

Still voting Pence, now I see others have joined me. If not him, still convinced that the race will look very different a year from now with many of the usual suspects not running and others currently under the radar will be in the top tiers

[henster]

Jeb will not survive the primary.

[GLPman]

Still voting Pence, now I see others have joined me. If not him, still convinced that the race will look very different a year from now with many of the usual suspects not running and others currently under the radar will be in the top tiers

Agreed. Many of the top tier candidates appear damaged. This is the first month since we started doing these monthly polls that I haven't immediately selected a candidate upon the release of the poll at the beginning of the month.

[cbannon5]

The Republican Party is basically predicated on three legs.  One leg is the Fiscal Conservatives.  Another leg is the Social Conservatives.  The third leg is the Hawks or Foreign Policy Conservatives.  The Tea Party tends to blend the more extreme elements of the Fiscal Conservatives with the Social Conservatives (and often extreme elements of Hawkish conservatism) 

-Jeb Bush would meet the desires of most of the Fiscal Conservatives and most of the Hawks while offending Social Conservatives and Tea Party Conservatives.  He would probably come in second in Iowa, win New Hampshire, and then proceed to win the nomination via the larger states.

-Rand Paul's biggest problem is that he is pretty much despised by one of the three legs of the GOP, the Hawks.  The Hawks, though diminishing in strength recently, are still a key faction and it is still hard to see being abandoned in such a slap in the face as nominating Rand Paul would be. Just consider that the only two non-hawks in the last GOP race were Ron Paul (non-interventionist) and Jon Huntsman (realist), and look how close they got to winning the nomination.   

Jon Huntsman 2016!!!

[Dixie Reborn]

Bush has no chance. Christie is fat and still has no chance. Huckabee is Santorum so he hates gays and sex. Rand!!!

Rand supports "Immigration reform".

[Matty]

I would love to see Rand, but I think the nomination goes to either Christie or Walker. A lot of GOP big wigs firmly believe that they must nominate a governor.

[Senator Cris]

Latest days

[Senator Cris]

Last day!

[BlueSwan]

Still leaning Christie.