Which Republican other than Christie could win the "moderate" primary states?
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  Which Republican other than Christie could win the "moderate" primary states?
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Author Topic: Which Republican other than Christie could win the "moderate" primary states?  (Read 454 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: March 28, 2014, 12:02:47 PM »

In 2008, John McCain on his way to the GOP nomination, won Northeastern and Western moderate states such as NY, NJ, IL, CA, DE, RI, VT, OR etc, while in 2012, with Mitt Romney on his way to the GOP nomination, did the same thing, winning "moderate primary states" such as NY, NJ, IL, CA, RI, VT, MA, OR, Hawaii and finally California in June. Other than Chris Christie or Jeb Bush, which other potential GOP contender can win these moderate Northeastern and Western Pacific states?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: March 28, 2014, 12:08:29 PM »

Paul Ryan/Scott Walker/Rand Paul.

For Ryan and Walker, they're not moderate, but in a moderateless field that's who I'd see moderates gravitating toward. Paul is a bit of a wildcard due to his libertarian views, and he could potentially put up a surprisingly good showing in some states.
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badger
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« Reply #2 on: March 28, 2014, 05:12:43 PM »

Paul Ryan/Scott Walker/Rand Paul.

For Ryan and Walker, they're not moderate, but in a moderateless field that's who I'd see moderates gravitating toward. Paul is a bit of a wildcard due to his libertarian views, and he could potentially put up a surprisingly good showing in some states.

Not Paul. Maybe NH and/or Maine due to the "unique" brand of Republicanism up there (and Maine likely still relying on caucuses), and possibly OR as well (which hardly has a "moderate" GOP electorate) if the race is still going on in May, but otherwise it's extremely tough to see him winning any of these other states short of somehow the race coming down to him, Cruz and Huckabee, if even then.

And that is reason #1 why Paul can't win the nomination: He could do well in IA and/or NH, but he's not the first or second choice of the Socon heavy southern primaries or the Main Street/Chamber of Commerce dominated northeastern and rust belt states. There's only so many delegates he can get from the Rockies and grain belt states plus picking off a ME or IA here and there.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2014, 01:18:38 AM »

California Republicans aren't moderates.
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shua
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2014, 02:06:07 AM »

Paul at the NE and NW corners of the country, maybe Kasich or Martinez in the other states you mentioned.
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