States that trended D in both 2008 and 2012
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Author Topic: States that trended D in both 2008 and 2012  (Read 649 times)
I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« on: February 10, 2014, 06:41:48 PM »
« edited: February 12, 2014, 05:37:02 PM by Thomas Jefferson »
Vermont
Rhode Island
Maryland
Virginia
North Carolina
Washington
California
Hawaii

This should cause concern for Republicans in Virginia and North Carolina.
And also, Vermont is continuing it's D trend since 2004, same with North Carolins.
Virginia is continuing it's D trend since 2000, same with Washington and  California.
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2014, 10:01:03 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jefferson on February 10, 2014, 06:41:48 PM
This should cause concern for Republicans in Virginia and North Carolina.

Concern? What concern?

Didn't Virginia Republicans just ran a slate of the most conservative candidates in recent memory?

Didn't North Carolina Republicans just try to run North Carolina like it's Mississippi since taking over the state government?
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2014, 01:58:34 AM »
Why is anyone surprised about Virginia/North Carolina... almost every single Republican on this website claims Virginia is either a tossup or lean republican state...
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2014, 12:46:58 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on February 12, 2014, 01:58:34 AM
Why is anyone surprised about Virginia/North Carolina... almost every single Republican on this website claims Virginia is either a tossup or lean republican state...

VA shouldn't have been surprising, but it was pretty sudden in 2006-08.  NC is a bit surprising in light of demographic change being slower there and so much of the state being so socially conservative.  There isn't a ton of evidence that the Dem trend will extend beyond Obama there.  Let's see if Hagan can win on her own.
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jamesyons
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2014, 09:11:37 PM »
Virginia is going to continue to trend towards the Democrats with the growth in Northern Virginia which will continue to become a higher portion of the state's population.  Combined with the diversification of the Richmond and Norfolk suburbs as seen with Republicans' trouble with Henrico (Cuccinelli only winning 38%) and the lack of a large margin in Chesterfield.  In Hampton Roads Chesapeake used to be solidly Republican and Newport News used to be Democrat leaning but now Chesapeake is swingy and Newport News is solidly Democrat.  The only thing stopping this trend is a Republican trend in Southwest Virginia which is losing population and is about finished trending towards Republicans.
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