GA-PPP: Nunn up slightly

[Miles]

Article.

Nunn- 42%
Broun- 41%

Nunn- 45%
Gingrey- 41%

Nunn- 44%
Handel- 40%

Nunn- 44%
Kingston- 42%

Though I understand this was commissioned for a liberal group.

[moderatevoter]

Well, also, there was an even split of Republicans and Democrats polled, and Nunn isn't getting all that much in terms of crossover vote. Plus, right now the GOP vote is not consolidated, whereas the Democrat vote largely is. Nunn is definitely a strong candidate for the Democrats, and if the Republicans end up with Gingrey or Broun, I can see her winning, but I think these numbers are slightly misleading.

[RogueBeaver]

What VA Voter said, and they didn't even test the primary - what really matters- because this is for a Dem group. Really wish there were more regional/local pollsters.

[Niemeyerite]

So Broun is the electable candidate. Nice.

[Adam Griffin]

It's as if it's polled to make Broun look better than the rest, heh.

As far as Party ID goes, we all know that's more complicated that it may seem. Georgia was ranked by Gallup in 2012 44-41 Republican in terms of ID via 9,800 phone interviews. It's also important to note that depending on turnout, she doesn't necessarily need all that much crossover vote in order to win; DNC scoring models for voters have the voter rolls in Georgia as being majority-Democratic, too. This poll also has whites making up 66% of the electorate, which is high. Even if 2014 were a 2010 in terms of sentiment, I can't see the electorate being more than 64% white (and will probably be closer to 62-63%)

[Miles]

Cohn: GA a better pickup opportunity than KY.

[Keystone Phil]

Does best against Handel but it's closest against Broun? Uh huh. Not that much can be read into since the margin is just a couple of points but still. All name ID at this point.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Well, also, there was an even split of Republicans and Democrats polled, and Nunn isn't getting all that much in terms of crossover vote. Plus, right now the GOP vote is not consolidated, whereas the Democrat vote largely is. Nunn is definitely a strong candidate for the Democrats, and if the Republicans end up with Gingrey or Broun, I can see her winning, but I think these numbers are slightly misleading.

Actually undecideds are split almost evenly: 34 R/31 D/35 I (IIRC).

[illegaloperation]

Booyah! Booyah! Booyah!

[Maxwell]

This is margin of error thin, and Nunn needs to hit 50 or its all for not, even against Broun.