Could gender equality in wages be an indicator of states' 2016 votes?
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  Could gender equality in wages be an indicator of states' 2016 votes?
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Author Topic: Could gender equality in wages be an indicator of states' 2016 votes?  (Read 277 times)
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 29, 2014, 09:25:03 AM »

Here's the full question I pose to you: Could gender equality in each states' wages be an indicator of whether the majority in that state is prepared to vote for a female president (Hillary) or not in the near future?

The New Republic has published a really neat map where they show the average cents a working woman in the state earn to each dollar the same man earns in that particular state. It looks like this:



Which means we've got this ranking (if equal, ranked after population density):

1. Maryland - 85 cents
2. Vermont - 85 cents
3. Nevada - 85 cents
4. New York - 84 cents
5. Florida - 84 cents
6. California - 84 cents
7. Hawaii - 83 cents
8. Maine - 83 cents
9. North Carolina - 82 cents
10. Arizona - 82 cents
11. Rhode Island - 81 cents
12. Georgia - 81 cents
13. Delaware - 80 cents
14. Minnesota - 80 cents
15. Colorado - 80 cents
16. New Mexico - 80 cents
17. New Jersey - 79 cents
18. Massachusetts - 79 cents
19. Illinois - 79 cents
20. Virginia - 79 cents
21. Texas - 79 cents
22. Oregon - 79 cents
23. Connecticut - 78 cents
24. Wisconsin - 78 cents
25. Washington - 78 cents
26. South Dakota - 78 cents
27. Ohio - 77 cents
28. Tennessee - 77 cents
29. New Hampshire - 77 cents
30. Arkansas - 77 cents
31. Iowa - 77 cents
32. Nebraska - 77 cents
33. Pennsylvania - 76 cents
34. Kentucky - 76 cents
35. Missouri - 76 cents
36. Mississippi - 76 cents
37. Oklahoma - 76 cents
38. Kansas - 76 cents
39. Montana - 76 cents
40. Idaho - 75 cents
41. Michigan - 74 cents
42. North Dakota - 74 cents
43. Alaska - 74 cents
44. Indiana - 73 cents
45. South Carolina - 71 cents (though the map color indicate 78 cents?)
46. Alabama - 71 cents
47. West Virginia - 70 cents
48. Utah - 70 cents
49. Louisiana - 67 cents
50. Wyoming - 64 cents

That makes me able to create this map:



90% = 85 or 64 cents
80% = 84 or 67 cents
70% = 83 or 70 cents
60% = 82, 81 or 71 cents
50% = 80, 74 or 73 cents
40% = 79, 76 or 75 cents
30% = 78 or 77 cents

This map would give us this EV distribution:

Hillary: 351 EVs
Republican male: 187 EVs

Link to article: http://www.newrepublic.com/article/116361/17-charts-about-inequality-obama-should-read
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MadmanMotley
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2014, 10:31:44 AM »

I'm curious how they made that map, because there are a lot of factors in play, and it would be important to know how they came up with the numbers. For one, did they take a sample of jobs that men and women do exactly the same thing? Because often times that doesn't happen, and these maps can be misrepresented. Now if they simply took all jobs from each state and divided between men and women it wouldn't be fair, because statistically men take higher risk/higher paid jobs than women, while this isn't always the case the results can become skewed.
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