WaPo poll: Romney would beat Obama by 4 today in re-match

[Tender Branson]

For Mitt Romney, the 2012 election was held about a year too early.

Romney would hold a slight lead on President Obama if the 2012 election were replayed today, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

The poll of registered voters shows Romney at 49 percent and Obama at 45 percent in the rematch, a mirror image of Romney’s four-point (51-47) popular-vote loss in 2012.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/11/19/president-romney-yes-if-the-election-were-held-today/?hpid=z1

[Associate Justice PiT]

      Such a result is useless, because Obama obviously hasn't been campaigning for President for the past year. It reminds me of how Richard Riordan lost the Republican primary for CA Governor as an aggressive smear campaign by the incumbent Gray Davis, and then a poll taken much later showed that he would have had a big lead over Davis in a general election matchup. The campaign makes a difference.

[afleitch]

So factoring in campaigning it'd probably be the same result.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

For Mitt Romney, the 2012 election was held about a year too early.

Romney would hold a slight lead on President Obama if the 2012 election were replayed today, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Haha. No.

Romney would still lose, because then we'd be having the campaign now instead of a year ago.

[Brittain33]

So factoring in campaigning it'd probably be the same result.

Right... Romney hasn't been campaigning either.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

This same poll still shows Obama winning handily among younger voters.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

This also shows why presidential terms are 4 years and not 5. We're about at the point where Presidents usually become less popular, regardless of whether it's deserved.

[hopper]

Obama is probably at a low point approval wise of the job he is doing right now along with the scandals that came out after his re-election and the healthcare.gov debacle.

[Indy Texas]

It took a year of Mitt Romney keeping his mouth shut to get him to 4 points over Obama.

[King]

Obama is still running 5-6 points ahead of his approval in this scenario.  He'd win the rematch.