Can Dems win Back the House in 2014?

[NewYorkExpress]

No, and I still think the GOP are even money to achieve at least a 50-50 tie in the Senate...


The Democrats probably won't take back the House until 2018 at the earliest.

[barfbag]

No, and I still think the GOP are even money to achieve at least a 50-50 tie in the Senate...


The Democrats probably won't take back the House until 2018 at the earliest.

50/50 is about as good as it can get for us. We'll add to our majority in the House by a small margin of less than 20 but more than 10.

[politicallefty]

It's possible, but it's still far too early to tell. There are several events that could seriously impact those chances. It'd take a good number of those to lean one way to give Democrats a serious chance. We have yet to know how those events will come down.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

One party rule would be fine if the right checks and balances are there to upset that rule. You'd need several constitutional amendments to achieve that, though.

Mind detailing just what those would be?

[tik 🪀✨]

One party rule would be fine if the right checks and balances are there to upset that rule. You'd need several constitutional amendments to achieve that, though.

Mind detailing just what those would be?

If we're talking about legislature and executive being of the same party, the Westminster system is what comes to mind to me. It seems to be more functional than the US system in many respects and would certainly require major constitutional amendments to be realized at the moment.

Then again, a government is only as good as the people running it; so maybe it wouldn't necessarily be better than the current US system given the contemporary crop of.. folks.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Can they? Yes, anything can happen. Possibility? Unlikely.


It would take an act of catastrophic Republican stupidity to pick up the 17 or 18 seats to take control. Realistically, if the election were held right now, I bet the Republicans make small gains in the House(less than 10 seats) and have a net gain of 2 or 3 in the Senate.


Best realistic case for the Democrats: net gain of 1-7 seats(I can't see how they beat their 2012 performance), but lose just 1 in the Senate.

The Democrats are probably willing to take some losses in 2014 for a better field in 2016, when they have the chance to nominate Hillary, defeat the 2010 TEA wave, and take the House if things go their way.

[old dog]

This is not shaping up as a typical mid-term election.  The president has not stopped campaigning for a single day, his campaign organization is still going full steam.  The Republicans are engaged in a circular firing squad.  How many "safe" Republican seats will face a bloody primary?  How many politically inept candidates like Aiken and Mourdock will throw seats to the Democrats?

The stakes are very high:  Card Check, Cap&Trade, Gun Control, Immigration "reform", Voting "rights", more "stimulus".
The promised fundamental transformation of America will be imposed.  Most importantly the balance of the Supreme Court will be upset for a generation.

Live long and prosper, Antonin Scalia!

PS I know control of the House has nothing to do with the supreme court but I have nightmares about future appointments based on the current track record; Justice Kagin does not even feel bound by the Declaration of Independence.