What if- Lisa Murkowski did NOT run as a write-in/independent in 2010

[NewYorkExpress]

Would the the Democrat, Scott McAdams take advantage of his opponents ethical issues, or would the Republican lean of Alaska carry the Republican, Joe Miller through?


FYI, I think McAdams wins 51-49, as the Miller campaign's scandals lead to his collapse, however the state's GOP lean keeps this race close. Ultimately though I believe Murkowski's withrdrawal leads to a Democratic pickup.

[TDAS04]

I'm not sure.  It could have gone either way, but I think that Miller probably wins.  He got 12% more than McAdams IRL, and many Murkowski voters were mostly conservative Republicans, but preferred the mainstream Murkowski over the the more extreme Miller.  I would guess that they still would have picked Miller over the liberal mayor of Sitka.. 

[barfbag]

Joe Miller would've been in the senate then.

[Tayya]

This is 2010. Joe Miller wins handily.

[PolitiJunkie]

Yeah Miller wins. If Murkowski declined to run and the Dem candidate was strong, he probably could have narrowly beat Miller, or at least made it close, but McAdams was a weak candidate.

[Maxwell]

Joe Miller wins 53-45. It's considered shockingly close, but McAdams never had a shot.