Does vetoing the marriage bill help or hurt Christie?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 09:42:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Does vetoing the marriage bill help or hurt Christie?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Will it?
#1
It will help him
 
#2
It will hurt him
 
#3
It will have no effect on him
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Does vetoing the marriage bill help or hurt Christie?  (Read 1766 times)
Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
The Obamanation
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 29, 2013, 07:07:44 PM »

Will the fact that Christie vetoed a SSM bill help or hurt him in 2016? He basically did it so he could be a contender and become more popular with the conservative anti-gay crowd anyway.

I think it will hurt him by 2016. By then, SSM will have a leaning strong support amongst almost everyone other than olds.
Logged
bballrox4717
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 949


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2013, 07:10:25 PM »

It won't have any more discernible effects than it would for another GOP nominee. The platform is going to oppose SSM regardless. The way Christie emphasizes it will determine the effect it will have on his candidacy.
Logged
TarHeelDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,448
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2013, 07:17:12 PM »

It gives the Democrats something to throw at him in the campaign. Should have Christie win the GOP primary though.
Logged
MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,764
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2013, 07:18:30 PM »

Will the fact that Christie vetoed a SSM bill help or hurt him in 2016? He basically did it so he could be a contender and become more popular with the conservative anti-gay crowd anyway.

I think it will hurt him by 2016. By then, SSM will have a leaning strong support amongst almost everyone other than olds.

Krispy Kreme won't have my support. There's youngs who strongly oppose ssm as well as olds.
Logged
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,076


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 29, 2013, 07:28:34 PM »

By then, NJ will have same-sex marriage, and the candidates trying to stake their ground on opposing it will be seen as the extremists. I figure Christie will take the "the law's the law and I have more important things on my agenda" approach, which will be the right one. I think that veto on his record will likely make him a bit more acceptable to social conservatives and minimize the chance of a third party run if he wins the nomination, but it won't play a big role either way.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,642
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 29, 2013, 07:29:20 PM »

Probably help him in the primaries.  It could hurt him in the general election, but he needs to win the nomination first.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,061


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 29, 2013, 09:21:51 PM »

Will the fact that Christie vetoed a SSM bill help or hurt him in 2016? He basically did it so he could be a contender and become more popular with the conservative anti-gay crowd anyway.

I think it will hurt him by 2016. By then, SSM will have a leaning strong support amongst almost everyone other than olds.

Krispy Kreme won't have my support. There's youngs who strongly oppose ssm as well as olds.

I'm sure there are olds who support cuts to Medicare, too.
Logged
Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
The Obamanation
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2013, 08:10:51 AM »

Will the fact that Christie vetoed a SSM bill help or hurt him in 2016? He basically did it so he could be a contender and become more popular with the conservative anti-gay crowd anyway.

I think it will hurt him by 2016. By then, SSM will have a leaning strong support amongst almost everyone other than olds.

Krispy Kreme won't have my support. There's youngs who strongly oppose ssm as well as olds.
That is true, but their numbers are shrinking.
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,440
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2013, 09:15:32 AM »

I meant to vote for "It will help him" but accidentally clicked on "It will hurt him."

It helps with primary voters. There's a slight risk that it allows someone else to run to his left, but one of the top arguments for Christie among primary voters would be that that he's popular with the middle, but still an advocate for conservative views on hot button issues.

And in the general election, it helps with religious voters who would support Democrats on fiscal issues.
Logged
This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,532
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2013, 12:18:24 PM »

It won't have any effect in the primary and probably won't have a huge effect in the general
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2013, 01:52:25 PM »

It won't have any effect in the primary and probably won't have a huge effect in the general

It might have a huge effect in liberal-leaning battleground states.
Logged
Liberalrocks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,940
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2013, 02:18:22 PM »

Would likely help him in a GOP Primary but Hurt him among women and independents in a general election where  a democrat would be searching for ways to make him look non-mainstream. By 2016 SSM will have stronger majority support. May not be make or break but I think it will cost him some votes should he be nominated.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,889
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2013, 05:01:56 PM »

It helps him if he gets the nomination. It hurts him getting the nomination because antipathy to gays and lesbians is red meat for the bulk of GOP primary voters.
Logged
PolitiJunkie
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,124


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2013, 05:04:57 PM »

It helps him if he gets the nomination. It hurts him getting the nomination because antipathy to gays and lesbians is red meat for the bulk of GOP primary voters.

I think you are confused. The bill was a bill that would permit same-sex marriage. So, by your (accurate) logic, vetoing SSM would help him in a Republican Primary but hurt him in the general.
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2013, 05:10:10 PM »

Will the fact that Christie vetoed a SSM bill help or hurt him in 2016? He basically did it so he could be a contender and become more popular with the conservative anti-gay crowd anyway.

I think it will hurt him by 2016. By then, SSM will have a leaning strong support amongst almost everyone other than olds.

Krispy Kreme won't have my support. There's youngs who strongly oppose ssm as well as olds.

Like a quarter of them?
Logged
Peter the Lefty
Peternerdman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,506
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2013, 05:15:04 PM »

Help in the primaries, hurt in the general.
Logged
barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 30, 2013, 11:23:01 PM »

He can veto it, oppose it, and then say each state should decide. It's pretty simple.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,649
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 30, 2013, 11:43:31 PM »

Helps and hurts. Though it depends on how he spins it.
Logged
Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,162
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2013, 12:57:24 PM »

Help in the primary, help in the general. He needs the so-con vote, and moderates/independents won't base their vote just on same sex marriage.
Logged
barfbag
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,611
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.26, S: -0.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2013, 03:15:07 PM »

That's true remember not every single voter votes based on same sex marriage. There's a lot of straight people who care about other things.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.241 seconds with 16 queries.