Does anyone know what the ...
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 12:07:20 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Forum Community
  Forum Community (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, YE, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Does anyone know what the ...		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Does anyone know what the ...  (Read 545 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,198
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 15, 2013, 03:09:31 AM »
betting quotas were for Cardinal Bergoglio ?

I guess the ones who betted on him are a lot richer right now ... Wink
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2013, 03:40:25 AM »
Don't know what they were in the days immediately leading up to the selection, but here are the odds that Nate Silver compiled from Oddschecker as of March 4:
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,357
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2013, 03:46:16 AM »
He actually had it at 4%? I thought he was even more of a longshot than that.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2013, 03:56:23 AM »
Quote from: Californian Tony on March 15, 2013, 03:46:16 AM
He actually had it at 4%? I thought he was even more of a longshot than that.

Actually, I think there's a problem with the table, in that the numbers add up to well over 100%.  Something more like 2% would probably be more realistic for Bergoglio.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,879


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2013, 04:13:16 AM »
Hilarious that he wasn't even the most favored Argentinian.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2013, 06:38:23 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on March 15, 2013, 03:56:23 AM
Quote from: Californian Tony on March 15, 2013, 03:46:16 AM
He actually had it at 4%? I thought he was even more of a longshot than that.

Actually, I think there's a problem with the table, in that the numbers add up to well over 100%.  Something more like 2% would probably be more realistic for Bergoglio.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
The over 100% part is the bookmakers' profit margin.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.222 seconds with 10 queries.