Politico:Democrats launching plan for 2014 at-risk members

[Incipimus iterum]

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/03/democrats-launching-plan-for-2014-at-risk-members-88402.html?ml=po_r

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[retromike22]

They couldn't have done this in 2012?

[krazen1211]

They couldn't have done this in 2012?

They did. It didn't work.

[Morning in Atlas]

They couldn't have done this in 2012?

They did, and it was moderately successful. 13 out of the 19 candidates survived re-election.

Anyways, the list of Democrats this year:

• Rep. Ron Barber, Arizona’s 2nd District
• Rep. John Barrow, Georgia’s 12th District
• Rep. Ami Bera, California’s 7th District
• Rep. Timothy H. Bishop, New York’s 1st District
• Rep. Julia Brownley, California’s 26th District
• Rep. Cheri Bustos, Illinois’ 17th District
• Rep. Lois Capps, California’s 24th District
• Rep. Suzan DelBene, Washington’s 1st District
• Rep. Bill Enyart, Illinois’ 12th District
• Rep. Elizabeth Esty, Connecticut’s 5th District
• Rep. Pete Gallego, Texas’ 23rd District
• Rep. Joe Garcia, Florida’s 26th District
• Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, Arizona’s 1st District
• Rep. Ann McLane Kuster, New Hampshire’s 2nd District
• Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, New York’s 18th District
• Rep. Dan Maffei, New York’s 24th District
• Rep. Jim Matheson, Utah’s 4th District
• Rep. Mike McIntyre, North Carolina’s 7th District
• Rep. Patrick Murphy, Florida’s 18th District
• Rep. Bill Owens, New York’s 21st District
• Rep. Scott Peters, California’s 52nd District
• Rep. Raul Ruiz, California’s 36th District
• Rep. Brad Schneider, Illinois’ 10th District
• Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, New Hampshire’s 1st District
• Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, Arizona’s 9th District
• Rep. John F. Tierney, Massachusetts’ 6th District

[publicunofficial]

I'd put more resources into Nick Rahall's district than Etsy, Brownley, or DelBene.

[Mr.Phips]

I'd put more resources into Nick Rahall's district than Etsy, Brownley, or DelBene.

Especially DelBene.  I dont think Bustos, Enyart, Kuster, Schneider or Maffei will need much help either.  Neither should Tierney unless the scandal resurfaces. 

[Morning in Atlas]

I'd put more resources into Nick Rahall's district than Etsy, Brownley, or DelBene.

Same, surprised that Rahall didn't make it. I'd even call Bustos and Brownley safe.

[Blackacre]

Good. Now do this with at risk senate Dems as well please

[Zioneer]

Matheson doesn't really need it, unless Mia Love runs again, and even then, probably not.

[badgate]

Glad to see Barber, Gallego, and Murphy are being helped out. Barber must be relieved to not be campaigning anymore!

[King]

They need to keep the interactive campaign style of Obama going into midterms.  Proposing an agenda if the Democrats were to take control of congress to campaign on would be a plus.

[Mr.Phips]

They need to keep the interactive campaign style of Obama going into midterms.  Proposing an agenda if the Democrats were to take control of congress to campaign on would be a plus.

A minimum wage increase would certainly be a real winning issue for Dems in 2014. 

[badgate]

I think it'd be cool if the Dem caucus had a mini-convention to establish policy for the race and nominate a new majority leader (assuming Pelosi steps down after the 113th; I think she will). Good way to show the party's unified and much more prepared to govern.

[Talleyrand]

They couldn't have done this in 2012?

They did, and it was moderately successful. 13 out of the 19 candidates survived re-election.

Anyways, the list of Democrats this year:

• Rep. Ron Barber, Arizona’s 2nd District
• Rep. John Barrow, Georgia’s 12th District
• Rep. Ami Bera, California’s 7th District
• Rep. Timothy H. Bishop, New York’s 1st District
• Rep. Julia Brownley, California’s 26th District
• Rep. Cheri Bustos, Illinois’ 17th District
• Rep. Lois Capps, California’s 24th District
• Rep. Suzan DelBene, Washington’s 1st District
• Rep. Bill Enyart, Illinois’ 12th District
• Rep. Elizabeth Esty, Connecticut’s 5th District
• Rep. Pete Gallego, Texas’ 23rd District
• Rep. Joe Garcia, Florida’s 26th District
• Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, Arizona’s 1st District
• Rep. Ann McLane Kuster, New Hampshire’s 2nd District
• Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, New York’s 18th District
• Rep. Dan Maffei, New York’s 24th District
• Rep. Jim Matheson, Utah’s 4th District
• Rep. Mike McIntyre, North Carolina’s 7th District
• Rep. Patrick Murphy, Florida’s 18th District
• Rep. Bill Owens, New York’s 21st District
• Rep. Scott Peters, California’s 52nd District
• Rep. Raul Ruiz, California’s 36th District
• Rep. Brad Schneider, Illinois’ 10th District
• Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, New Hampshire’s 1st District
• Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, Arizona’s 9th District
• Rep. John F. Tierney, Massachusetts’ 6th District

I would remove those three Representatives from the list and replace them with Rahall. He only won by seven points, a performance worse than 2010, and his district went 66% for Romney, last I heard. He's definitely in serious danger.

[publicunofficial]

Maybe Rahall's absence from the list means the DCCC knows something the public doesn't. Like Rahall running against Capito for Rockefeller's seat.

[Morning in Atlas]

Maybe Rahall's absence from the list means the DCCC knows something the public doesn't. Like Rahall running against Capito for Rockefeller's seat.

That scares me. Right now I REALLY don't feel well about anyone's chances against Capito. She's the second most popular public official in WV, and polling looks terrible. Her approvals and her polling numbers are in the 50s, and she has a nearly 20-point lead over Rahall in both of the polls. And regarding a primary, her approvals are in the high 70s among Republicans (mid-70s among conservatives too). This seat definitely isn't worth risking a House seat for.

[Eraserhead]

They have no chance in hell of winning the house, of course.

[Morning in Atlas]

They couldn't have done this in 2012?

They did, and it was moderately successful. 13 out of the 19 candidates survived re-election.

Anyways, the list of Democrats this year (truncated the other parts):

• Rep. Suzan DelBene, Washington’s 1st District
• Rep. Dan Maffei, New York’s 24th District
• Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, Arizona’s 9th District

I would remove those three Representatives from the list and replace them with Rahall. He only won by seven points, a performance worse than 2010, and his district went 66% for Romney, last I heard. He's definitely in serious danger.

I'd remove Bustos, Brownley, and maybe even Kuster. NH's ex-Speaker (who managed to turn a nearly 3/4 GOP supermajority into a Democratic majority under his leadership) is considering a run, and his Tea Party politics aren't the most palatable for a D+3 district. I don't see 2014 becoming a 2010 repeat, so Kuster is very likely to win. Rahall needs the DCCC's support, though.