Politico/GWU Poll: Obama 49-Romney 48

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82389.html

President Obama maintains a 1 point lead nationally in the Politico/GWU Poll. But he is down 2 in the swing states. Gov. Romney has also seen a large rise in Favorability. Democrats have a 2 point lead on the generic congressional ballot, which is good considering they usually have R-leaning ballot results.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

He still has net-positive approval .

You must be logged in to read this quote.

He's still the middle-class guy. But Mitt can get things done. Libya has also hurt O's NS approval.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Romney's narrowly leading on the economy though.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But, Right Track-Wrong Track is trending up. People are feeling better about the country, which could help in November.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Generally good news, overall.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's certainly nice to see.

[Eraserhead]

This poll was done entirely before the VP debate, making it significantly less interesting.

[Cliffy]

Quick look and thoughts,

Definitely vote for:
Romney 44-Obama 43

22% feel less likely/strongly about not voting for Obama after debate.

Voted in past elections:
Democrat 48
Republican 42

14% labor union/household, seems high? Don't know

12% african american, prob back to 9-10% realistically

Male 46% - femal 54%........... too high

[Eraserhead]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

[pa2011]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

Yes, I agree with this. Obama not really suffering much with black enthusiasm. Think younger voter enthusiasm could be a potential issue for him, but black turnout may only be slightly less than 4 years ago.

[Cliffy]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

so you think black unemployment won't factor in?

I guess gay marriage wont either?

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right? 

Might want to rethink that.  They will not be out as high as last time, I'd hedge to historic turnout #s.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Black people's responses to gay marriage polling had a comfortably double-digit swing in favor after Obama articulated his support, you know.

[Eraserhead]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

so you think black unemployment won't factor in?

I guess gay marriage wont either?

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right?  

Might want to rethink that.  They will not be out as high as last time, I'd hedge to historic turnout #s.

You seriously think blacks vote (or don't vote) based on things like gay marriage? Come on, get serious.

[DrScholl]

so you think black unemployment won't factor in?

I guess gay marriage wont either?

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right? 

Might want to rethink that.  They will not be out as high as last time, I'd hedge to historic turnout #s.

You have no clue what you are talking about.

[President von Cat]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

so you think black unemployment won't factor in?

I guess gay marriage wont either?

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right? 

Might want to rethink that.  They will not be out as high as last time, I'd hedge to historic turnout #s.

I guess by 'black pastors' he is referring to 'GOP election officials in swing states', and by 'asking', he means 'preventing'.

[Cliffy]

Ok I guess I'm imagining that, good luck with 08 turnout.

[Oakvale]

I think it's somewhat sad that some Republicans are so deliriously excited at the prospect of less people voting.

[old timey villain]

If you think blacks aren't going to be out in full force for Obama, you're sadly mistaken.

so you think black unemployment won't factor in?

I guess gay marriage wont either?

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right?  

Might want to rethink that.  They will not be out as high as last time, I'd hedge to historic turnout #s.

Oh yes, you certainly "get" the black community. They're all unemployed, gay-hatin, single issue, non voters.

[Silent Hunter]

This poll was done entirely before the VP debate, making it significantly less interesting.

Actually, it's more interesting - as Obama is still slightly ahead even after the debate problems.

[Lief 🗽]

Blacks have consistently been one of the most enthusiastic demographic groups in 2012 polling. Obama might have trouble with youngs and Hispanics, but there's no evidence of a drop-off in his black support.

[GMantis]

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right? 

Source?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I heard about this... but it won't make a difference AT ALL...

[Likely Voter]

It's funny, if you read the two Politico stories attached to this, both sides can clearly show how this poll proves their guy is winning.

[King]

You realize there are over 1500 black pastors asking their congregations to not vote right? 

Source?

Glenn Beck's sexual fantasies.

[Cliffy]

At least that was semi humorous.

[King]

At least that was semi humorous.