is this outcome more or less likely than it was just three months ago?
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  is this outcome more or less likely than it was just three months ago?		 « previous next »
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Question: .....
#1
more likely		  
#2
less likely		  
#3
just as ridiculous now as then		  
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Author Topic: is this outcome more or less likely than it was just three months ago?  (Read 2342 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: June 26, 2012, 01:17:53 PM »
more likely, obviously.  i dont think things are looking to bright for obama.
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Harry
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2012, 02:49:03 PM »
Michigan's not going to flip unless its way worse than that for Obama...
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Supersonic
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2012, 05:16:06 PM »
Definitely more likely. Although either swap Michigan for Wisconsin, or have Wisconsin as Republican too.
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Penelope
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2012, 05:17:59 PM »
More likely, but I think that if Michigan is going for Romney, then Wisconsin has already gone for Romney as well.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2012, 05:30:47 PM »
I have a hard time seeing any of the states that Bush lost twice in 2000 and 2004 going for Romney in 2012.
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milhouse24
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2012, 07:44:05 PM »
Obama is doing really bad among white blue collar workers at 31%.
Wisconsin is almost all white people. 
I can easily see Wisconsin going for Romney before Michigan goes for Romney. 
Maybe Wisconsin will have some residual effect from Romney's Michigan ties near the state border. 
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2012, 08:42:50 PM »
What?

Are some Democrats now actually admitting that there is the possibility of a Romney win?
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2012, 08:51:18 PM »
Quote from: First Watergate Now Gunrungate on June 26, 2012, 08:42:50 PM
What?

Are some Democrats now actually admitting that there is the possibility of a Romney win?

This coming from the forum's biggest Romney hack, who admitted the possibility of an Obama win a while ago.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2012, 08:57:21 PM »
Quote from: First Watergate Now Gunrungate on June 26, 2012, 08:42:50 PM
What?

Are some Democrats now actually admitting that there is the possibility of a Romney win?

Of course. Obama is very good at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2012, 09:15:04 PM »
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on June 26, 2012, 08:51:18 PM
Quote from: First Watergate Now Gunrungate on June 26, 2012, 08:42:50 PM
What?

Are some Democrats now actually admitting that there is the possibility of a Romney win?

This coming from the forum's biggest Romney hack, who admitted the possibility of an Obama win a while ago.

At least I am not so closed minded that I would exclude the fact that Obama could certainly win the election.

Hack?  Are you purposely trying to hurt my feelings?  Smiley
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Penelope
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« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2012, 09:43:56 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 26, 2012, 08:57:21 PM
Quote from: First Watergate Now Gunrungate on June 26, 2012, 08:42:50 PM
What?

Are some Democrats now actually admitting that there is the possibility of a Romney win?

Of course. Obama is very good at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

That pretty much sums up Obama's entire Presidency.
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Frodo
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« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2012, 09:46:12 PM »
Walter, why do you think Michigan is more likely to go to Romney than Wisconsin? 
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #12 on: June 27, 2012, 12:56:04 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on June 26, 2012, 09:46:12 PM
Walter, why do you think Michigan is more likely to go to Romney than Wisconsin? 

i just think wi is, as a whole, much more progressive than mi.   there are also a lot of blue collars in mi, and as someone pointed out, obama isnt doing too well with them.

there has to be at least some slight home state advantage too.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #13 on: June 27, 2012, 01:02:47 PM »
I voted #3 because polling numbers lately have been as consistent as Mitt Romney.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #14 on: June 27, 2012, 02:41:33 PM »
Much more likely.  I think Obama will be stronger in the SW, though.
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cavalcade
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« Reply #15 on: June 27, 2012, 03:29:08 PM »
I'm more uncertain of what's going on in Michigan.  So, more likely.
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Torie
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« Reply #16 on: June 27, 2012, 06:56:22 PM »
It's been a toss up for a long time. Fixating on blips in the polls this early is a big mistake.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: June 29, 2012, 03:55:51 AM »
Focusing on polls from shadowy organizations that have an agenda is also a big mistake.
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