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Author Topic: Something's off  (Read 772 times)
H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« on: April 23, 2012, 03:33:41 PM »
OK, do any of you guys know electoralmap.net? It's a pretty simple place where you can view and create electoral maps. You can also view the Intrade odds for each state.

And that's where something's off.

For the past week or so, I've noticed that the odds for Romney to win NC, VA, and FL are rising higher and higher. Have you guys been noticing this on Intrade-official as well, and if so, why do you think it's happening? Is it because conservatives are rallying around Romney?
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Devils30
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2012, 04:01:38 PM »
 Intrade is fun but it's often like sports betting. The markets generally react to the polling rather than the other way around.
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2012, 05:23:54 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on April 23, 2012, 04:01:38 PM
Intrade is fun but it's often like sports betting. The markets generally react to the polling rather than the other way around.

     That would be pretty wicked if polling reacted to Intrade.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2012, 06:29:50 PM »
Another thing is that they show Obama with only a 67% chance of taking New York, while giving him better than 7 out of 10 odds for winning Pennsylvania.  lol
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The Professor
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« Reply #4 on: April 23, 2012, 06:43:04 PM »
There are many things in life that make sense to worry about. The trend in the odds for Mitt Romney to win random states in not one of these things.
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