2012 Election: America's New Day
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« on: July 09, 2011, 11:01:20 PM »

A New Timeline: Election 2012 and On

Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Thune



Right before the Republican Convention the latest unemployment figures signaled a great sign for President Obama. For the first time in a long time the unemployment rate hit 8.0%.

Gov. Romney tried to hit him on it, but it appeared his argument was not working as Pres. Obama's lead continued to grow.

Romney vs. Obama
D: 49%
R: 44%

Finally on the week before election day the economic conditions began to change. For the first time in a few months unemployment jumped up to 8.1%. Pres. Obama downplayed the numbers as saying it meant nothing.

On the night before election day President Obama finished up his campaign in Ohio before returning to Washington. Gov. Romney campaigned in Colorado, Ohio, Florida and New Hampshire, hoping to turn the tide that seemed to be growing against him.

The latest tracking poll indicated his chances were slim:

D: 48%
R: 46%

President Obama went to bed comfortably believing his reelection was inevitable, while Gov. Romney went to bed hoping he could turn the election around. He proclaimed at the last rally in NH:

"We're the underdogs. We've been outspent by this President but the people of America no better. We know we can do better. We know can bring America back."



President Obama and First Lady Michele Obama left Washington early on November 6th and flew to Chicago where they cast their vote for his reelection. When asked on whether he'd succeed or not President Obama smiled and said, "We'll see tonight, but I think it's going to be a good night."



Mitt and Ann Romney cast their votes in Massachusetts, before heading back to New Hampshire to watch the results with their family. On his way out the door Romney sounded nervous, but confident in his chances against President.






Election Night:

The election night began as usual with many traditional states following into place. Gov. Romney carried South Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky and Indiana, while Pres. Obama carried Vermont.



R: 44
D:  3

CNN:

Blitzer: Welcome to CNN Election 2012 Coverage, I'm Wolf Blitzer, here with the best political team on television. Tonight we have: John King, Gloria Borger, Anderson Cooper, Ed Rollins, David Gergen and Candy Crowley.

Blitzer: Let us begin with the states Gov. Romney has carried so far, David what do you make of Indiana going this early?
Gergen: Certainly it has to be making the Romney camp very happy, but the night is still young and many more states have to fall into line.
Borger: If I may just interject here. Virginia still remains undecided and Pres. Obama leads in the state narrowly, so I still say this election is Obama's to lose.
Blitzer: John,
King: Well looking at some of the data we've received, particularly exit polling from key states it appears this is going to be a long night. Now one of the recurring themes was the economy. It is the major issue driving this election, so we shall see.
Blitzer: Hold it right there it is 7:30 and we have some projection to make.... CNN can now project that Gov. Romney has carried the state of West Virginia, another expected state falls into place.



R: 49
D:  3

Blitzer: That brings Gov. Romney's total now to forty-nine electoral votes to President Obama's three. We'll now pass it back over to Anderson Cooper for discussion.
Cooper: Thanks Wolf. As we look at the electoral map as expected North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia remain undecided.
Rollins: The place to watch for Obama is in North Carolina. If he gets that state I think he's got the election wrapped up. For Romney if can get New Hampshire and maybe Virginia then I think he's going to  do very well as we go into the midwest and out to the west coast.
Borger: Pennsylvania is the toss up of toss ups this cycle. While President Obama has had a narrow lead in Ohio, he has either trailed or tied Gov. Romney in the Keystone states, so it will be interesting to see how that state goes to night.



...........

8:00

Blitzer: Eight o'clock on the east coast and the polls have closed in many states at this hour and we have some projections to make.



Blitzer: President Obama has won the following states at this time:
Connecticut, Delaware, Joe Biden's home state, Maryland, Massachusetts, the state of Gov. Romney, New Jersey, Maine, his home state of Illinois and the District of Columbia.

Blitzer: For Gov. Romney:
Tennessee, Oklahoma, Alabama, Mississippi and Missouri.



R: 92
D: 75

Blitzer: It is still Gov. Romney with a slight lead in the electoral count, but Pres. Obama is gaining traction. Now back over to Anderson.
Cooper: David Gergen, you found something interesting.
Gergen: In Missouri. President Obama contested this state heavily and was leading in some polls and yet it has gone to Gov. Romney and gone this early. I think it is telling, especially since four years ago this time Pennsylvania had gone for Pres. Obama.
Rollins: Romney is doing well in the deep south where many thought he'd have some trouble, so I think tonight is going to be a great night for the former Governor.
Borger: It all still rests on the swing states, either one of them has to carry if in order to win this election.
King: Elections come down to swing states and it--
Cooper: Wait up everyone, Wolf has a projection to make.

Blitzer: Anderson I wouldn't interrupt you if it weren't important. We project Gov. Romney has carried the state of New Hampshire. He has won it decisively.



R: 96
D: 75



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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2011, 11:19:35 PM »
« Edited: July 10, 2011, 10:40:29 AM by NHI »

Blitzer: We're back and returning to our panel. Looking at the data we've received in Pennsylvania John King is at the magic wall putting it all together for us.
King: Well based on the exit polling we're looking at Pennsylvania, especially in the suburbs where Gov. Romney appears to be doing well and he seems to be running up the board in Philadelphia, so that is promising.



Blitzer: John hold that we are about to make a projection. CNN can now project that Gov. Romney has carried the state of Pennsylvania.



R: 116
D:   75

Blitzer: This is a major win for the Romney campaign and we'll discuss it all when we return from a short break....
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: July 10, 2011, 10:39:20 AM »
« Edited: July 10, 2011, 10:42:48 AM by NHI »

Blitzer: We now return to CNN's coverage of election night 2012 with the best political team on television and David Gergen what do you make of Pennsylvania going to Romney this early?
Gergen: I think he's in a good position this early. Pennsylvania as we know hasn't voted for a Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988 so is very significant and it helps him as other states fall into line.
Borger: Just to go off David's point Romney was leading or tying Pres. Obama in the state and now that it has gone for him, especially this early I think could be the trend for the rest of the evening.


....

Blitzer: It is nine o'clock on the east coast and we have major projections to make:
CNN now project that President Obama has carried the states of:
New York, Rhode Island, New York, New Mexico and Minnesota.

For Gov. Romney we project:
Texas, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, South Dakota the home state of his running mate John Thune, and Wyoming and Arizona.



We can not yet project winners in Colorado, Wisconsin or Michigan at this time. Returning it back over to our political team.

Cooper: Ed Rollins, you have a comment?
Rollins: Four years ago Wisconsin and Michigan went easily for Obama and tonight Romney is contesting them heavily, I think the tide is turning against Pres. Obama and looking at the electoral count he's going to have to make in roads in Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina.



R: 196
D: 123

Gergen: The unemployment in Michigan is higher than the national average, Gov. Romney has strong ties to that states, so if he can flip into his column than he's in a great position and he doesn't have to worry about a loss in Arizona or Colorado.
Cooper: We need to send it over to Wolf, he has a projection to make, Wolf.
Blitzer: Thanks Anderson, CNN now can project that Gov. Romney has carried the state of Florida. Mitt Romney will win Florida's 29 electoral votes.





R: 225
D: 123

Cooper: Thoughts?
King: Looking just at the electoral map about a one hundred delegate difference separates Gov. Romney and Pres. Obama, and with many states still outstanding I think the Romney campaign has to be very happy, because it seems the longer the states don't come in the better it looks for Gov. Romney.
Cooper: Well as we look at the results in Virginia it seems Pres. Obama still holds a narrow lead over Gov. Romney, but in all the other states in question even in Wisconsin Gov. Romney leads the President, David Gergen?
Gergen: Anderson I think the end is nearing for this election and I think the Romney campaign knows it and the President's campaign knows it. Now a lot can change, but I think they over bet that the unemployment numbers and the weak economy wouldn't play such a large factor. We have to remember that we have 8.1% unemployment, that still millions of people out of work and the mentality has been from this President that, "It could be worse."

....
9:55

Blitzer: We now speak via hologram to Jessica Yellin who is live from Chicago at the President's reelection headquarters, Jessica what is the feeling down there?
Yellin: The mood is somber Wolf. Certainly the states are not falling as expected.
Blitzer: Hold that thought Jessica CNN has a major projection to make.



Blitzer: CNN can now project that Gov. Romney has won the state of Ohio. No states was thought harder than this one and Gov. Romney has carried it.



R: 243
D: 123

Blitzer: It is now ten o'clock and we have more projection to make: CNN can now project that Gov. Romney is the winner in the state of Utah, Nevada and Montana.



R: 258
D: 123

Cooper: Well looking at the map Gov. Romney's lead is growing and he is now twelve away from the Presidency, thoughts Gloria Borger?
Borger: You get a sense Anderson, especially from the Romney campaign that this is over. One of the big states falls and he crosses the finish line. The President's side is obviously optimistic, but it doesn't look good for him unlike how yesterday or even this morning when we thought he'd eek out a win.
Rollins: These are obviously different times and I don't wish to draw comparisons, but this elections mirrors 1980 when Ronald Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter. Now Mitt Romney is not Ronald Reagan, and Barack Obama is not Jimmy Carter, but the issues are similar. It is the economy that has driven this entire election and Gov. Romney probably soon to be President-elect Romney hammered the President on that issue.

....

10:15

Blitzer: Let us go live now to Dana Bash at Gov. Mitt Romney's headquarters in Manchester New Hampshire, tell us what the feeling is there?
Bash: Elation Wolf. The results keep coming in and they're now just waiting for a few more states to come their way they'll hit the magic number, but I've spoken to many Romney insiders and they believe they will be victorious tonight. We actually just learned that Sen. John Thune arrived about an hour ago and is watching the results with his family in a nearby hotel and will join Gov. Romney when he makes his speech later tonight.
Blitzer: Dana we do have to break away, we have a major projection to make. Based on having just carried the state of North Carolina CNN can now project that Gov. Mitt Romney will be the 45th President of the United States of America.


Mitt Romney: The 45th President of the United States



R: 273
D: 123






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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: July 10, 2011, 12:10:38 PM »

Final Results


R: 327 51.1%
D: 211 47.7%

Mitt Romney was elected President of the United States and proclaimed proudly in his victory speech: "That America is on it's way back. We will revive our economy and restore American Greatness! Our nation's new day begins today."



Pres. Obama conceded to President-elect Romney, and promised a smooth transition.

Coming soon The Presidency of Mitt Romney
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2011, 08:47:50 PM »

Pennsylvania is never projected that early, except in GOP landslides. This is a random upset.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2011, 08:53:26 PM »

With unemployment so high, a Romney win doesn't surprise me. As always, I enjoy your mini-timelines! Smiley
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2011, 09:57:50 PM »

With unemployment so high, a Romney win doesn't surprise me. As always, I enjoy your mini-timelines! Smiley

They're all basically the same scenario with a coin flip to decide who wins (and it's almost invariably really close, this is an exception)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2011, 10:11:57 PM »

With unemployment so high, a Romney win doesn't surprise me. As always, I enjoy your mini-timelines! Smiley

Thanks. Here's hoping that Romney wins for real in 2012.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: July 12, 2011, 08:53:04 AM »

Congressional Results:

Republican retain control of the House and narrowly win the senate.

House: 240-192
Senate: 51-49


Willard Mitt Romney is sworn in as the 45th President of the United States. In his inaugural address he promised a return to domestic prosperity, and that America's decline is only a choice, and it is one that we the American people will not and will never chose.


The Obamas depart Washington as President and First Lady Romney along with Vice President John Thune Second Lady Thune wave good-bye.



Mitt and Ann Romney dancing at one of the many inaugural balls.


President Romney signs a waiver to all fifty states freeing them from the Health Care legislation. "With this we will begin the process to repeal the Health Care Legislation passed in 2009, and get America on a path to fiscal sanity."

Key members:

Romney Administration:
Vice-Presient: John Thune
Sec. of State: Jay Garner
Sec. of Defense: Matt Blunt
Attorney General: Rudy Giuliani
Sec. of Treasury: Meg Whitman
Sec. of Labor: Kerry Healey
Sec. of Education: Jeb Bush
Sec. of Homeland Security: Rick Perry




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