NH-WMUR/UNH Poll: Romney remains ahead, Bachmann's support triples

[Tender Branson]

35% Romney
12% Bachmann
  7% Paul
  7% Giuliani
  4% Perry
  3% Pawlenty
  3% Palin
  2% Cain
  2% Huntsman
  1% Gingrich
  1% Johnson
  1% Santorum
  2% Someone else
19% Undecided

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  773 randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by telephone between June 21 and July 1, 2011. 

The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.5%.  Included in the sample were 357 likely 2012 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.2%) and 263 likely 2012 Democratic Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.0%).

http://www.wmur.com/new-hampshire-primary-extended-coverage/28452166/detail.html

[tpfkaw]

lol @ Gingrich

[Tender Branson]

Interesting.

Because PPP said they will find Bachmann closer to Romney than any candidate has been so far and Donald Trump was only trailing by 7 points in the last survey.

Either the PPP poll is bullsh*t, or Bachmann has some hidden support.

[King]

Interesting.

Because PPP said they will find Bachmann closer to Romney than any candidate has been so far and Donald Trump was only trailing by 7 points in the last survey.

Either the PPP poll is bullsh*t, or Bachmann has some hidden support.

Maybe PPP forgot about the Trump poll and are basing "closest" off the others.

Keep in mind this is a university poll and therefore the least likely to be correct.

[Keystone Phil]

Either the PPP poll is bullsh*t

Oh, no! Is Tender saying PPP is biased (that's what others have been accused of saying when they dare question PPP's accuracy)?

[King]

Either the PPP poll is bullsh*t

Oh, no! Is Tender saying PPP is biased (that's what others have been accused of saying when they dare question PPP's accuracy)?

How does one show Democratic bias in a Republican primary poll?

[Keystone Phil]

Either the PPP poll is bullsh*t

Oh, no! Is Tender saying PPP is biased (that's what others have been accused of saying when they dare question PPP's accuracy)?

How does one show Democratic bias in a Republican primary poll?

Don't ask me. I dared to say that one of their polls might not be accurate and was accused of calling them biased. I'm sure their most ardent defenders here can find a way to suggest that any criticism of their GOP primary poll is really a complaint about bias.

[Bull Moose Base]

ppp had one of the best track records of pollsters in 2010.  Does WMUR have much to recommend its methods?

[Tender Branson]

ppp had one of the best track records of pollsters in 2010.  Does WMUR have much to recommend its methods?

PPP and UNH/WMUR were both really good in the 2010 elections.

UNH got 1 house race wrong though, but within the MoE.

In 2008, UNH at first was really strange because they showed Obama ahead of McCain by about 25% in Mid-October when every other poll had Obama ahead by just 10, but their final poll had Obama ahead by 11 then, which was really close to the end result.

Plus, they absolutely nailed the 2004 election between Kerry and Bush and the 2008 Senate race was also within 2 points of the actual result.

So, yeah, UNH knows how to poll New Hampshire.

[Mr. Morden]

UNH/WMUR also came closest on McCain's margin of victory over Romney in 2008.