The latest poll by CRESPI RICERCHE (Nov. 8-9, 1000 Italians questioned):
26.0% Popolo della Libertà
23.0% Partito Democratico
13.0% Lega Nord
9.2% Futuro e Libertà per l'Italia
6.0% Unione di Centro
5.7% Italia dei Valori - Lista Di Pietro
5.7% Sinistra Ecologia Libertà
3.1% MoVimento 5 Stelle
2.3% La Destra
1.8% Partito della Rifondazione Comunista
1.2% Lista Bonino Pannella
1.0% Movimento per le Autonomie
2.0% Others
Ok, so that would give in a 2008's rematch scenario :
- PdL-LN-MpA : 40%
- PD-IdV : 29%
Adding the radical left parties to the left coalition (I don't think they will be as stupid as they were in 2008), and to be fair adding La Destra to the right :
- PdL-LN-MpA-LD : 42,3%
- PD-IdV-SEeL-M5S-PRC-Rad : 40.5%
Fini and Casini could be the kingmakers...