When was the last time we had this many governorships flip in one night?

[Eraserhead]

The numbers are getting really ridiculous. I'm now predicting that the GOP will pick up 13 (WTF?) and that the Democrats will pick up 7 (more than the Democrats picked up in friggin' 06).

I have the Republicans picking up: Maine, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Tennessee, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, New Mexico and Oregon.

I have the Democrats picking up: Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Florida, Minnesota, California and Hawaii.

Of course some of these races are still tossups and may not flip at all... but there are other states that may still fall.

I don't have Texas or Georgia flipping right now but both of them seem pretty vulnerable to the Democrats. Same goes for Maryland and Massachusetts with the Republicans... even New Hampshire could possibly be in play.

Pretty amazing stuff. We could see the party control of 20+ governorships change in one evening.

[Tender Branson]

In 2002, there were also 20 changes ...

And in 1990, there were 14 changes ...

[Eraserhead]

In 2002, there were also 20 changes ...

I totally forgot about that many changing that year. Of course, it looks like the numbers could easily go over 20 this year.

Maybe a better question would be whether or not we'll see more gubernatorial turnovers this year than we did in 2002...

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

[Nichlemn]

Interesting that only 20% of your projected flips are in McCain states, despite McCain winning 42% of the states up for election. I suppose the states inclined to vote for Obama due to economy in 2008 are the ones most upset at things not having improved enough in 2010.

[Eraserhead]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

Just checked this out. 14 flipped. 11 to the Republicans and only 3 to the Democrats. Very odd considering the huge Democratic gains in the Senate that night.

[ajc0918]

The numbers are getting really ridiculous. I'm now predicting that the GOP will pick up 13 (WTF?) and that the Democrats will pick up 7 (more than the Democrats picked up in friggin' 06).

I have the Republicans picking up: Maine, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Tennessee, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, New Mexico and Oregon.

I have the Democrats picking up: Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Florida, Minnesota, California and Hawaii.

Of course some of these races are still tossups and may not flip at all... but there are other states that may still fall.

I don't have Texas or Georgia flipping right now but both of them seem pretty vulnerable to the Democrats. Same goes for Maryland and Massachusetts with the Republicans... even New Hampshire could possibly be in play.

Pretty amazing stuff. We could see the party control of 20+ governorships change in one evening.

Sink isn't going to win in Florida.
and Dubie is a strong candidate in Vermont, we haven't seen much polling on this race though.
Emmer also has a chance in MN, but I agree it's prob a democrat pick up. And I do think Meg will win.

[Eraserhead]

The numbers are getting really ridiculous. I'm now predicting that the GOP will pick up 13 (WTF?) and that the Democrats will pick up 7 (more than the Democrats picked up in friggin' 06).

I have the Republicans picking up: Maine, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Tennessee, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, New Mexico and Oregon.

I have the Democrats picking up: Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Florida, Minnesota, California and Hawaii.

Of course some of these races are still tossups and may not flip at all... but there are other states that may still fall.

I don't have Texas or Georgia flipping right now but both of them seem pretty vulnerable to the Democrats. Same goes for Maryland and Massachusetts with the Republicans... even New Hampshire could possibly be in play.

Pretty amazing stuff. We could see the party control of 20+ governorships change in one evening.

Sink isn't going to win in Florida.
and Dubie is a strong candidate in Vermont, we haven't seen much polling on this race though.
Emmer also has a chance in MN, but I agree it's prob a democrat pick up. And I do think Meg will win.

Why is Sink leading in all of the polling other than Rasmussen then? Her favorables are so much stronger too. Anyway, different strokes for different folks... those are my predictions for now... most of which are directly based upon the polling.

[Dgov]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

Just checked this out. 14 flipped. 11 to the Republicans and only 3 to the Democrats. Very odd considering the huge Democratic gains in the Senate that night.

Well most of the Senate gains were because 1980 Freshman were up for re-election and the Republican party was defending like 16 Freshman in tough states.  Democratic gains in the House were much more muted at only a handful.

[Eraserhead]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

Just checked this out. 14 flipped. 11 to the Republicans and only 3 to the Democrats. Very odd considering the huge Democratic gains in the Senate that night.

Well most of the Senate gains were because 1980 Freshman were up for re-election and the Republican party was defending like 16 Freshman in tough states.  Democratic gains in the House were much more muted at only a handful.

I know. It's still kind of weird that they had a significant gain in the number of governorships though.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Can't we just abolish this useless Rasmussen?

[Eraserhead]

Can't we just abolish this useless Rasmussen?

... huh?

[Mr.Phips]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

Just checked this out. 14 flipped. 11 to the Republicans and only 3 to the Democrats. Very odd considering the huge Democratic gains in the Senate that night.

Well most of the Senate gains were because 1980 Freshman were up for re-election and the Republican party was defending like 16 Freshman in tough states.  Democratic gains in the House were much more muted at only a handful.

I know. It's still kind of weird that they had a significant gain in the number of governorships though.

Well, Democrats gained so much in 1982 that Republicans were only defending nine governorships in 1986 to the Democrats' 27.  It would be almost impossible for Republicans not to snap back from such a low position.

[nclib]

Interestingly (though unsurprisingly) many of these seats that are predicted to flip have outgoing Democratic Governors in strong GOP states (WY, OK, KS, TN) or visa versa (CT, RI, VT, HI).

Governorships have been easily the least partisan of Gov., Sen., and House seats (will probably still be that way, but less so).

[Eraserhead]

Not sure how many, but 1986 was pretty infamous for the number of turnovers we had in governors' mansions. It was the only real bright spot of the GOP's night.

Just checked this out. 14 flipped. 11 to the Republicans and only 3 to the Democrats. Very odd considering the huge Democratic gains in the Senate that night.

Well most of the Senate gains were because 1980 Freshman were up for re-election and the Republican party was defending like 16 Freshman in tough states.  Democratic gains in the House were much more muted at only a handful.

I know. It's still kind of weird that they had a significant gain in the number of governorships though.

Well, Democrats gained so much in 1982 that Republicans were only defending nine governorships in 1986 to the Democrats' 27.  It would be almost impossible for Republicans not to snap back from such a low position.

Good point. That still seems like a lot though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I agree, abolishing Rasmussen and replacing it with Ipsos will be the smartest thing ever done. And Sink is gonna win in Florida she is a rising star and she has the polls behind her.

[Eraserhead]

I agree, abolishing Rasmussen and replacing it with Ipsos will be the smartest thing ever done. And Sink is gonna win in Florida she is a rising star and she has the polls behind her.

lol. trolls.