Map for Anderson Victory
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  Map for Anderson Victory
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Author Topic: Map for Anderson Victory  (Read 1050 times)
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Cathcon
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« on: December 06, 2010, 03:14:28 PM »

This is just a wild guess, given that it would've been impossible for Anderson to win.



Congressman John Anderson (I-IL)/Governor Patrick Lucey (I-WI); 271 electoral votes
Former Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Former CIA Director George Bush (R-TX); 162 electoral votes
President James Carter (D-GA)/Vice-President Walter Mondale (D-MN); 105 electoral votes
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2010, 09:43:25 PM »

For an Anderson victory scenario, that map is probably as good as any, except I simply can't see Reagan losing California.

But to make up 45 EV for Anderson would be extremely difficult.
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Cathcon
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« Reply #2 on: December 07, 2010, 03:55:52 PM »

For an Anderson victory scenario, that map is probably as good as any, except I simply can't see Reagan losing California.

But to make up 45 EV for Anderson would be extremely difficult.

I should've given Anderson Ohio instead of California, but even then he wouldn't have 270 EV's. I can imagine a Phil Crane vs. Anderson vs. Carter or some other Democrat where Anderson ends up with 45 EV's or more. Anderson's territory was really limited by Reagan's strength in the West, the existence of a Democrat in the race, and the fact that he wouldn't be able to get any piece of the South in the 1980 landscape.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2010, 03:58:17 PM »

You should give Anderson MA and probably MN, give Carter HI, and give Indiana to Reagan.  Then give Anderson one of the Dakotas for victory.
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Cathcon
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« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2010, 04:10:08 PM »

You should give Anderson MA and probably MN, give Carter HI, and give Indiana to Reagan.  Then give Anderson one of the Dakotas for victory.

I had assumed that Massachusetts and Minnesota were strong Democratic states, both having withstanded different Republican landslides. I gave Carter MA because I assumed that Anderson could take enough moderate away from Reagan in order to give the democrat victory there.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #5 on: December 07, 2010, 04:48:02 PM »

The only plausible way for Anderson to have become President in 1980 would have been to taken away enough Republican votes to swing a number of States to Carter while getting a few EV's for himself in New England (most likely Vermont, with Massachusetts and Maine as possibilities.)  Anderson might have been able to throw the election into the House where he might have been able to get the nod.  Absent significant changes in the Congressional elections, Bush would be Vice President in this scenario.
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