CO: Public Opinion Strategies: Bennet overtakes Buck

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Public Opinion Strategies on 2010-09-06

Summary: D: 43%, R: 40%, I: 5%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Torie]

They haven't polled the race before unfortunately. I like to see intra poll outfit trends myself.

[Tender Branson]

POS's polls in Colorado have been pretty good in the past, and this is also a bi-partisan poll.

POS and Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates conducted it.

I remember back in October 2008 when POS and another Dem. pollster conducted a Colorado survey for the Denver Post and they already showed Obama up by 12, when others just had him up by 3-5%.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=86396.0

[Lief 🗽]

Neat! Maybe some of the Maes brouhaha is rubbing off on Buck.

[The Vorlon]

LOL

Old POS trick of tossing out a poll showing it close to energize the GOP base in a state where they are ahead, but the base needs a little help to get motivated.

473 out of 500 registered voters are "likely" - so 94.6% of registered voters will actually turn out to vote in an off year senate race... ya... sure.... that's gonna happen....

Slide this poll down to a sane turnout model (say 50% maybe?) factor in GOP energy levels and it says what all the other polls say... a soft single digit lead for Buck.

[Vepres]

Besides, independents will probably break sharply for Buck.

[sg0508]

If the GOP comes up empty in CO this year, will they  ever win there again?  Scary.  They completely blew the Governor's race and now the Senate race is in serious jeopardy too.