.

[Bull Moose Base]

.

[useful idiot]

Jimmy Carter, whose tag all Republicans want to put on a Democratic president. They couldn't make it work with Clinton, but they'll sure as hell try with Obama, and who knows, maybe they'll succeed...

[Derek]

Those are interesting numbers. The country likes to go back and forth between GOP and Dems. Usually both parties get 8 years. Exceptions were 1980 when Carter was voted out and 1988 when Bush carried the torch. Remember Bush being compared to his dad and it didn't work. Now they're already trying to compare Obama to Clinton and that will likely not work either. Each president is somewhat unique. Clinton only survived cuz he went with the conservative ideas for 2 years. Obama is too proud to do that and the GOP will be clever to put things in bills that Obama can just not go with as a democrat this time around.

[TomC]

a 1 in 7 shot at being the leader of the free world?

[Nichlemn]

Because past performance is no guarantee of future results. This would have been like Obama noting there were zero black Presidents, therefore his probability of winning was 0%.

[jbtornado]

Because as corrupt as politicians are seen as now, the odds are that we will have more one termer presidents in the near future. 

The 1980's and 1990s were relatively stable.. We only had Bush sr as a one termer...

I still swear to this day, but it will never be known, had 9-11 not happend and many Americans were scared into voting for Bush because it was the patriotic thing to do, and to "complete the job" in Iraq.... Bush jr would have been a one termer..

Before 9-11, Many viewed Bush as the son of a former president who was lucky to be in office and not the brightest bulb.. Do you think he would have won again in 2004 had he had a tough opponent?  I just cant picture it. 

Jimmy Carter was very weak also for obvious reasons and to say the least the 1970's were not as stable as a time politically. We had just come off Nixon resigning, Ford's short time in office, and a poor economy and a few crisis..

I would call the last 5 years or so very unstable and America is not going to be trusting of either party for quite a while and will be alot more quick to jump the gun on voting out a president after one term.. Besides odds do say, eventually a one termer will happen again if it hasnt lately right? And I think we could have quite a decent shot of some one termers of both parties coming the next 10 years or so

[The Mikado]

Because past performance is no guarantee of future results. This would have been like Obama noting there were zero black Presidents, therefore his probability of winning was 0%.

^^^

PLEASE stop with the historical determinism.  I hear the facts crying in pain from the torture.

[Derek]

You realize predicting the 2012 election is like predicting if it will rain on that election day.