Next wipeout election
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Author Topic: Next wipeout election  (Read 2637 times)
CJK
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« on: February 07, 2010, 11:04:38 AM »

Any predictions for how long it will be until we get a landslide that is as large or larger than 1984?
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2010, 11:46:01 AM »

When intense partisanship cools down. Maybe 20-30 years.
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ScottM
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2010, 02:10:07 PM »

We may see some lopsided elections, but I'd be shocked if we see another election like that in our lifetimes.
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Rudy
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2010, 02:39:23 PM »

At the moment, Obama-Style 2008 elections are probably the greatest scenario in which we see a landslide. The "electable" factor prevents modern parties from offering up perceived "crazies," such as George McGovern in 1972. So, I essentially agree with the two above posters that it seems very unlikely for another landslide to occur at this particular point in time.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #4 on: February 07, 2010, 05:41:03 PM »
« Edited: February 07, 2010, 05:43:56 PM by Mechakillah »

At the moment, Obama-Style 2008 elections are probably the greatest scenario in which we see a landslide. The "electable" factor prevents modern parties from offering up perceived "crazies," such as George McGovern in 1972. So, I essentially agree with the two above posters that it seems very unlikely for another landslide to occur at this particular point in time.

Right, because landslide election losses only happen to crazies, which is why Alf Landon suffered a landslide election lost in 1936 and Walter Mondale lost a landslide election lost in 1984.
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Rudy
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« Reply #5 on: February 07, 2010, 06:41:08 PM »

At the moment, Obama-Style 2008 elections are probably the greatest scenario in which we see a landslide. The "electable" factor prevents modern parties from offering up perceived "crazies," such as George McGovern in 1972. So, I essentially agree with the two above posters that it seems very unlikely for another landslide to occur at this particular point in time.

Right, because landslide election losses only happen to crazies, which is why Alf Landon suffered a landslide election lost in 1936 and Walter Mondale lost a landslide election lost in 1984.

Notice the word in bold carefully. I put that word in there for a reason. The atmospheres where Parties offer up candidates in 1936 and 1984 are certainly not the same as today's primary atmosphere. People did not really doubt Alf Landon's ability to be elected (many in the media even thought he would win), or Mondale's electability. In today's presidential contests, you hear the word "electable" quite often.

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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« Reply #6 on: February 07, 2010, 06:42:29 PM »

2012.

Obama will be going down in flames.
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Bo
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« Reply #7 on: February 07, 2010, 09:35:37 PM »

After 2100, if ever. I seriously doubt a 1984-type landslide is even possible nowadays barring the most extreme of circumstances. Even if a candidate said that he cheated on his wife numerous times with bimbos and that he was a violent jock in college, he would still win some states.
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#CriminalizeSobriety
Dallasfan65
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« Reply #8 on: February 07, 2010, 10:21:08 PM »

Right, because no Republican can ever win. Obama rules! Democrats rule!
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Sasquatch
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2010, 11:12:08 AM »

Hopefully never again.


I want all election nights to be close like 2000 and 2004.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2010, 11:44:01 AM »

2008 won't happen next time around.  The battlegrounds will shrink and I am expecting someone will win by about 290 electoral votes.  The map was expanded due to the economic crisis.
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opebo
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« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2010, 05:28:19 PM »


Actually the most likely outcome is a narrow loss.  Though him going down in flames is far, far more likely than him improving on his 2008 victory.
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Derek
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« Reply #12 on: February 09, 2010, 02:01:20 PM »

Hmm, well if Obama tries to pass the healthcare bill in its present state without Republican support through the nuclear option, then I'd say that the Republicans are looking at having veto override over Obama in both houses.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #13 on: February 09, 2010, 08:33:19 PM »

Hopefully never again.


I want all election nights to be close like 2000 and 2004.

Epic Win.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #14 on: February 09, 2010, 08:35:43 PM »

Eh... Can't be too sure. Reagan's feat is unbeatable for now. If a Republican is elected in 2012 and the economy significantly improves, then he will win re-election by a large margin in 2016. However, this is all speculation. I don't think Obama could improve his margin, and I .don't think a Democrat could improve on his victory in 2008 when he/she runs in 2016.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #15 on: February 09, 2010, 10:15:54 PM »

2012.. Big, huge Obama victory..

for better or worse.
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milhouse24
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« Reply #16 on: February 17, 2010, 01:17:06 PM »

There were some reasons for the huge victories/defeats, primarily because the loser was so unqualified.  Carter was a one term governor who had terrible management skills and questionable leadership, it was easy for the veteran Reagan to win.  Mondale was labeled a failure along with Carter.  In my view, McCain was just too old to steer this country to the change it needed.
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k-onmmunist
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« Reply #17 on: February 26, 2010, 08:31:36 AM »

2012, when Obama gets pwned.
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King
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« Reply #18 on: February 26, 2010, 11:15:41 PM »

If Sarah Palin gets the GOP nomination, 2012.  Otherwise, it may be a few years.
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« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2010, 01:26:05 AM »

When people get sick of the majority party in power
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