PPP: Huck probably statistically tied with Obama

[CJK]

PPP says that it "shows him coming closer to Obama than he has in any of the previous nine monthly polls.", which means less than 3 points which was the gap in their August poll. (For August see http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_820.pdf)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/12/looking-at-huck.html

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

No matter how popular Huckabee continues to get in Arkansas and West Virginia, he doesn't stand a chance in the electoral college.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Probably? What does that mean? Either they are tied or they are not.

Anyway I really think that this is to good to be true in any case.

[Eraserhead]

PPP says that it "shows him coming closer to Obama than he has in any of the previous nine monthly polls.", which means less than 3 points which was the gap in their August poll. (For August see http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_820.pdf)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/12/looking-at-huck.html

The word "closer" indicates to me that it isn't tied. It's statically tied I'm sure but I don't see how this indicates that it is literally tied.

[Rowan]

PPP says that it "shows him coming closer to Obama than he has in any of the previous nine monthly polls.", which means less than 3 points which was the gap in their August poll. (For August see http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_820.pdf)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/12/looking-at-huck.html

The word "closer" indicates to me that it isn't tied. It's statically tied I'm sure but I don't see how this indicates that it is literally tied.

Yeah, I have to agree. I don't understand how closer would mean tied.

[CJK]

PPP says that it "shows him coming closer to Obama than he has in any of the previous nine monthly polls.", which means less than 3 points which was the gap in their August poll. (For August see http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_820.pdf)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/12/looking-at-huck.html

The word "closer" indicates to me that it isn't tied. It's statically tied I'm sure but I don't see how this indicates that it is literally tied.

Yeah, I have to agree. I don't understand how closer would mean tied.

Who cares? It's effectively tied, which is all that really matters in this discussion.

[Poundingtherock]

Any predictions for Thursday?

I'll predict Huckabee within 1
Palin within 4-5 points

Is Romney over 50% favorables with Republicans yet?

[Vepres]

Huckabee's probably lost law-and-order conservatives, so he'll likely be a regional candidate again if he runs, thus losing the nomination.

[pbrower2a]

Probably? What does that mean? Either they are tied or they are not.

Anyway I really think that this is to good to be true in any case.

Huckabee would win some states by gigantic margins while Obama would win enough states by not-so-gigantic margins.  Huckabee wins the cultural South except perhaps Virginia and Florida while Obama holds onto the Blue Firewall -- likely by smaller margins than in 2008. With a 50-50 election Obama wins basically Gore2000 + NH + NV+ CO (probably just short of 270 electoral votes) and one of Arizona, Florida, Montana, Ohio, either Dakota, and Virginia... barely. That Huckabee wins some Southern states by margins near 40% means nothing if he can't cut deep into the Blue Firewall.

That's if the election were held today. But there won't be any snap election, Obama is not in campaign mode (where he excels), and his political machine is still in mothballs.