2009 Final Predictions Thread!

[YankeeFan007]

New Jersey Gubernatorial Race
Corzine - 44%
Christie - 43%
Dagget - 11-12%

Maine Question #1
Yes - 49%
No - 51%

I really hope no wins in Maine.  I think its ridiculous that were still having this conversation.

[nkpatel1279]

Virginia-
Governor
McDonnell-R 56%
Deeds-D 44%

Lt Governor
Bolling-R 52%
Wagner-D 48%

Attorney General
Cuccenilli-R 54%
Shannon-D 46%.

New Jersey-Governor
Corzine-D 46%
Christie-R 44%
Daggett-I 10%

NY-23(US House)
Owens-D 41%
Hoffman-C 39%
DeDe-R 20%

[Filuwaúrdjan]

New Jersey: D 44, R 48, I 7 (Corzine might still pull things out (it's New Jersey), possibility must also exist of this being surprisingly-not-close).

Actual: R 48.8, D 44.6, I 5.7

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Actual: R 58.7, D 41.3

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Actual: R 50.6, D 46.0

Scenario three happend

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Actual: D 49.3, C 45.2, R 5.5

I'm certainly not complaining about calling that one wrong.

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This seems about right.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I reserve the right to change these as late as Tuesday Afternoon.

New Jersey
Jon Corzine  44.5%
Chris Christie 45.1%
Chris Dagget 10.4%

Virginia
Bob McDonnell 56%
Creigh Deeds  43%

CA - 10
John Garamendi 55%
David Harmer 42% 
Other 3%

NY - 23
Doug Hoffman 49%
Bill Owens 43%
Dede Scozzafava 8%

NYC Mayor
Michael Bloomberg  54%
Bill Thompson  45%

Maine Question 1
Yes 50.6%
No  49.4%

Washington State Referendum 71
Approve: 52%
Reject: 48%

Updated NY 23, added CA - 10, tacked up Yes on Question 1 and reduced Bloombergs margin slightly.

Well I didn't do to well this time in my predictions. I was close on VA and NJ but in both I underestimated the Republican victory. CA-10 was very close also. I should have at least left NY-23 alone instead of moving it to 7% from 3% Hoffman win. I also overestimated Bloomberg. 

[DownWithTheLeft]

I echo again that my one firm prediction is that Jon Corzine will not break 45% and would be lucky to break 43%

With that said...

Chris Christie (R) 47%
Jon Corzine (D) 42%
Chris Daggett (I) 8%

Bob McDonnell (R) 57%
Creigh Deeds (D) 42%

Hoffman (C) 49%
Owens (D) 45%
Scozzafava (Dickface) 5%

And my shocker (while still not a win)...

Michael Bloomberg (R/I) 50%
Bill Thompson (D) 49%

Easily the best day of predicting in my history

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

I echo again that my one firm prediction is that Jon Corzine will not break 45% and would be lucky to break 43%

With that said...

Chris Christie (R) 47%
Jon Corzine (D) 42%
Chris Daggett (I) 8%

Bob McDonnell (R) 57%
Creigh Deeds (D) 42%

Hoffman (C) 49%
Owens (D) 45%
Scozzafava (Dickface) 5%

And my shocker (while still not a win)...

Michael Bloomberg (R/I) 50%
Bill Thompson (D) 49%

Easily the best day of predicting in my history

That's actually very well done. If you had only switched Owens' and Hoffman's percentages you'd be real good. I believe you might have been the closest

[Meeker]

New Jersey Governor
Christie: 45%
Corzine: 43%
Daggett: 9%

New Jersey Governor
Christie: 49%
Corzine: 45%
Daggett: 6%

Virginia Governor
McDonnell: 57%
Deeds: 43%

Virginia Governor
McDonnell: 59%
Deeds: 41%

Maine Question #1
No: 52%
Yes: 48%

Maine Question #1
Yes: 53%
No: 47%

NY-23
Owens: 49%
Hoffman: 46%
Scozzafava: 5%

NY-23
Owens: 49%
Hoffman: 45%
Scozzafava: 6%

CA-10
Garamendi: 56%
Harmer: 44%

CA-10
Garamendi: 53%
Harmer: 43%

NYC Mayor
Bloomberg: 55%
Thompson: 45%

NYC Mayor
Bloomberg: 51%
Thompson: 46%


I should get a friggin' medal for NY-23. Damn I'm proud of myself.

[Eraserhead]

Alright, it's time. Everything looks set for a near-perfect night for Republicanism/conservatism.


New Jersey Governor
Jon Corzine 43%
Chris Christie 45%
Chris Daggett 11%

Virginia Governor
Bob McDonnell 56%
Creigh Deeds 44%

NY-23 Special Election
Bill Owens 43%
Doug Hoffman 48%
Dede Scozzafava 9%

NYC Mayor
Michael Bloomberg 53%
Bill Thompson 46%

Maine Question 1
Yes 51%
No 49%


In CA-10, the Democrat wins. In Washington, the evil gay agenda will score a victory. I'm not gonna bother with percentages on those two since I haven't been following them closely enough.

Meh. I could have done worse.

[War on Want]

New Jersey Governor
Chris Christie 46
Jon Corzine 45
Chris Daggett 8

Virginia Governor
Bob McDonnell 56
Creigh Deeds 44

NY-23 Special Election
Doug Hoffman 49
Bill Owens 45
Dede Scozzafava 6

NYC Mayor
Michael Bloomberg 55
Bill Thompson 43

Maine Question 1
No 52
Yes 48

Admittedly I have not been following the NYC Mayor race or Maine Question 1 closely at all.

Yeah these were terrible predictions.

[cinyc]

There's no actual result in the NY races yet.  NY-23 has tightened a bit (now 48.90%-46.39-4.71%) due to delayed counting and errors in the initial count generally favoring Scozzafava.  Precincts, mainly in Republican-leaning areas, are still out in NY-23.  And absentees aren't supposed to be counted statewide until next week.  Given that some absentees were probably filled out before Dede dropped out of the race, the final result is likely to vary.

[Lunar]

I should get a friggin' medal for NY-23. Damn I'm proud of myself.

Oh dear is that what your mother has been doing all these years every time you were proud of yourself?  I didn't want to be the one that has to tell you this, but that's not how the non-"special" real world works Meeker.... I'm sorry I have to be the one to tell you this, but those medals you got for flushing the toilet, or not choking on pop-tarts...those...well, I don't want to say that they're not real, but they certainly aren't widely recognized

[Meeker]

I should get a friggin' medal for NY-23. Damn I'm proud of myself.

Oh dear is that what your mother has been doing all these years every time you were proud of yourself?  I didn't want to be the one that has to tell you this, but that's not how the non-"special" real world works Meeker.... I'm sorry I have to be the one to tell you this, but those medals you got for flushing the toilet, or not choking on pop-tarts...those...well, I don't want to say that they're not real, but they certainly aren't widely recognized Blah blah blah, my mother never hugged me, blah blah blah, I have a small penis.

Fixed.

[Lunar]

Are you saying I have a small penis or you do?  I can't quite tell how your stream of consciousness works sometimes because you are literally retarded.

[Meeker]

Are you saying I have a small penis or you do?  I can't quite tell how your stream of consciousness works sometimes because you are literally retarded.

You do. It was your quote after all.

[Lunar]

at least I don't have big ears and a stubby tail you retarded freak