Who will win Westchester County, NY (R)? (user search)
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  Who will win Westchester County, NY (R)? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Donald J. TRUMP
 
#2
John Kasich
 
#3
Ted Cruz
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: Who will win Westchester County, NY (R)?  (Read 952 times)
The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« on: April 10, 2016, 08:59:32 PM »

Trump, Kasich will do alright.

Part of the county is really just an extension of the Bronx demographically (New Rochelle, Mt Vernon) and by the time you get to places with Republican voters you're decently far enough upstate that Trump will do well.

Kasich should have a decent showing, but overall it will likely go to Trump
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2016, 09:01:21 PM »


Agreed.  There's definitely a solid contingent of well-educated, mainline Protestant Republicans who will vote Kasich, but there's definitely more than enough Catholics (especially Italians) to overwhelm them.

This whole New York primary seems like something out of a different era...

Would definitely be interested in seeing what towns in Westchester Trump loses, though.

Its not a matter of Catholic v Protestant. I think its more 'wealthy suburban' (who, interestingly are heavily Jewish in Westchester) vs more exburban voters and Republicans in heavily democratic areas to the south of the county.
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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Posts: 4,569
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2016, 10:13:20 PM »


Agreed.  There's definitely a solid contingent of well-educated, mainline Protestant Republicans who will vote Kasich, but there's definitely more than enough Catholics (especially Italians) to overwhelm them.

This whole New York primary seems like something out of a different era...

Would definitely be interested in seeing what towns in Westchester Trump loses, though.

Its not a matter of Catholic v Protestant. I think its more 'wealthy suburban' (who, interestingly are heavily Jewish in Westchester) vs more exburban voters and Republicans in heavily democratic areas to the south of the county.

A little bit, but Trump does well with the highly educated/higher income suburbanites, particularly when they are Catholic, so I think that trend will show up a great deal more. (Are the suburban Jews really Republicans anyway? I know the Brooklyn ones are, but in NJ, they seem pretty D)

Armonk/Scarsdale/Pelham are Jewish, some I would assume are republicans, but it's besides the point. I don't think there are enough 'typical' Kasich voters to make it close: Trump should win running away.
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