Hispanics: California’s Next Majority (user search)
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  Hispanics: California’s Next Majority (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hispanics: California’s Next Majority  (Read 1382 times)
The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« on: March 05, 2013, 03:36:51 PM »

Personally, I think they're overstating future Hispanic population growth. Immigration from Mexico and Central America has basically stopped, and birth rates are not dramatically higher among Hispanics, especially second- or third-generation. The Asian population in California is likely to experience more growth between now and 2020 than the Hispanic population. California may even still be non-Hispanic white plurality in 2020, and it definitely won't have a single majority population group any time soon.

Agreed. I read an article by the Pew hispanic research center that stated hispanic birthrates have dropped to record lows. I think the number was 2.1 if i'm remembering correctly, which is right at replacement level.

Whites, blacks, and asians were all below replacement. Immigration has also slowed significantly too, so I think many predictions for 2050 with a population breakdown with hispanics at 30%+ may be a bit aggressive. That being said, I do expect hispanics to be a majority in CA (they are all ready), NM, maybe TX (lots of whites going there too) maybe AZ, and thats about it. FL and CO are a bit of a wildcard though.
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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Posts: 4,569
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« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2013, 03:38:59 PM »

Heres the Pew article BTW

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/11/29/u-s-birth-rate-falls-to-a-record-low-decline-is-greatest-among-immigrants/
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