2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2

[windjammer]

UT-04: Ben McAdams raised around $900K in Q4

https://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/22584-campaign-sources-mcadams-raised-nearly-1-million-in-campaign-cash-has-nearly-2-million-in-the-bank

Yeah, I doubt that republicans will take back this district next year especially with Trump lukewarm approval rate in Utah

It would be safer for republicans to make a Salt lake dem vote sink next decade.

[windjammer]

UT-04: Ben McAdams raised around $900K in Q4

https://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/22584-campaign-sources-mcadams-raised-nearly-1-million-in-campaign-cash-has-nearly-2-million-in-the-bank

Yeah, I doubt that republicans will take back this district next year especially with Trump lukewarm approval rate in Utah

It would be safer for republicans to make a Salt lake dem vote sink next decade.

Why ? The other districts are safe and should remain so, it’s not that Utah is becoming a progressive state, it’s just that Trump brand of republicanism is not attracting mormons

Trump brand of republicanism has redefined the GOP and it is going to stick. Being against immigration and against free trade is helping the GOP with WWC voters , but it's hurting them with mormons.

[windjammer]

UT-04: Ben McAdams raised around $900K in Q4

https://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/22584-campaign-sources-mcadams-raised-nearly-1-million-in-campaign-cash-has-nearly-2-million-in-the-bank

Yeah, I doubt that republicans will take back this district next year especially with Trump lukewarm approval rate in Utah

It would be safer for republicans to make a Salt lake dem vote sink next decade.

Why ? The other districts are safe and should remain so, it’s not that Utah is becoming a progressive state, it’s just that Trump brand of republicanism is not attracting mormons

Trump brand of republicanism has redefined the GOP and it is going to stick. Being against immigration and against free trade is helping the GOP with WWC voters , but it's hurting them with mormons.

Mormons contrary to white suburbanites Romney/Clinton voters are still very socially and fiscally conservative, they will easily support a ''Trumpist'' republican as long he doesn't have the personal flaws that Trump has, I mean Ron DeSantis would probably win 2/3 of the vote in Utah if he were to run for / when he will run for the presidency

Mormons are pro immigration and pro free trade. And the GOP has become anti immigration and pro protectionnism.

I don't believe that 2016 was an outlier, it was a realignment. WWC voters aren't going to go back to the dems post Trump and college whites aren't going to go back the republicans either.

[windjammer]

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1255264363654656000?s=20

Interesting that AL/GA/TX/ are not on the list.

I guess they are waiting for the primaries to happen?

I mean obviously Doug Jones is going to lose (Biden would need to win the popular by 15 points, not happening lol) but I don't expect democrats to triage an incumbent running for reelection.