What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election) (user search)

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What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election) (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Which states are likely to elect the opposite party of their incumbent senator in 2018?

#1 Arizona		24 (51.1%)
#2 California		2 (4.3%)
#3 Connecticut		1 (2.1%)
#4 Delaware		1 (2.1%)
#5 Florida		5 (10.6%)
#6 Hawaii		1 (2.1%)
#7 Indiana		26 (55.3%)
#8 Maine		0 (0%)
#9 Maryland		2 (4.3%)
#10 Massachusetts		2 (4.3%)
#11 Michigan		4 (8.5%)
#12 Minnesota		1 (2.1%)
#13 Mississippi		1 (2.1%)
#14 Missouri		24 (51.1%)
#15 Montana		8 (17%)
#16 Nebraska		1 (2.1%)
#17 Nevada		35 (74.5%)
#18 New Jersey		1 (2.1%)
#19 New Mexico		2 (4.3%)
#20 New York		1 (2.1%)
#21 North Dakota		22 (46.8%)
#22 Ohio		7 (14.9%)
#23 Pennsylvania		3 (6.4%)
#24 Rhode Island		1 (2.1%)
#25 Tennessee		1 (2.1%)
#26 Texas		3 (6.4%)
#27 Utah		3 (6.4%)
#28 Vermont		1 (2.1%)
#29 Virginia		1 (2.1%)
#30 Washington		1 (2.1%)
#31 West Virginia		8 (17%)
#32 Wisconsin		8 (17%)
#33 Wyoming		2 (4.3%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 47

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Author

Topic: What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election) (Read 4459 times)

windjammer
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Posts: 15,543

Re: What states do you think will vote for a different party? (2018 Senate election)

« on: June 03, 2017, 05:37:58 AM »

Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on June 03, 2017, 02:59:06 AM

I personally think Flake is being underestimated. The margin in Arizona was undoubtedly much closer in 2016 than in 2008/2012, but:

(a) For all the talk about how close Arizona was in 2016, Hillary only beat Obama's % by one percent.
(b) Trump was undoubtedly a worse fit for Arizona than McCain/Romney, given his problems with college-educated whites, Latinos, and Mormons. But Flake wouldn't have similar problems with these groups, particularly Mormons.

It's harder to tie Flake to Trump, given Flake was one of Trump's highest profiled critics in the GOP.

This guy underperformed Obama by 5 points and has been often polled as one of the most unpopular senators in the country.

I'm not saying he's doomed, but seriously, he's definitely not underrated.

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