Initial Inside Elections/Gonzales 2018 Senate ratings

[windjammer]

I think I can agree with most of those race ratings. I don't think Klobuchar, Stabenow, Heinrich, or Menendez are "Safe D". Paulsen could run in MN, Amash in MI, Martinez in NM, and Kean in NJ. It is definitely an uphill climb for Republicans in those states but anything is possible.

Oh come on, Amash? He has next to no blue-collar populist appeal, and a libertarian-type candidate is going to get crushed in Macomb County, and probably do poorly in the UP. Benishek, a yooper, would be the ideal Republican in Michigan.

I don't think Benishek would be a good candidate. He massively underperformed Romney in 2012

[windjammer]

Anyway, answering TNvolunteer:
My changes :
-MT, NV and OH to toss up
-MI to likely rep
-MO, ND and IN to lean Rep
-PA to likely dem
-AZ to lean rep

Incumbent friendly except PA but not by much, usually a different of rating by only one (for example lean rep instead of toss up)

[windjammer]

For the record, I'd vote for the Republican candidate over Joe Manchin. Enough already with this guy.

This is dumb.