Will Florida reach #1 on COVID deaths per capita? (user search)
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  Will Florida reach #1 on COVID deaths per capita? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will it?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: Will Florida reach #1 on COVID deaths per capita?  (Read 1712 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,169


« on: September 16, 2021, 02:27:15 PM »

Not per capita but it will compete with Texas for most covid deaths.  I guess the GOP doesn't care though because the census was already taken.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2021, 01:00:30 PM »

Florida has moved into the top ten with 237.

Ahead of it are Arkansas (245) and MA/AZ/RI/AL, all at around 265.

Florida needs about 6,500 deaths to reach 267 and enter the top 5.  If it continues as its current rate that should take about two and a half weeks.  Until then, there won't be much movement, since there is a large gap between Arkansas and those four states.

Arkansas itself is also moving up the list pretty fast at a rate of about 1 death per 100,000 people per day.  Florida's rate is about 1.6.  So it may take two weeks for Florida to even pass Arkansas.

Mississippi has now reached the same rate of increase as Florida -- it has 7x fewer deaths per day for a 7x smaller population and thus moves up the list at the same rate.  For Florida to have a chance at taking the top spot, Mississippi needs to either stop deaths, or DeSantis needs to figure out a way to kill his people even more efficiently.

It's already at 239 now with updated numbers:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html

It is adding about 1.64 per day according to the NYT.  So at the current rate it should hit the top 3 within a month, all else being equal... Arkansas might beat it out though and push it to 4.  Still remarkable, a total and complete failure from one of the most self-serving Gov's in the country.  Glad Biden is playing hardball with that clown.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2021, 03:34:02 PM »

Florida will probably end up escaping #1 by both measures.

In terms of total deaths they are rising fast but so is Texas so Texas will probably eventually overtake California and remain at #1 indefinitely.

In terms of deaths per capita they are currently #10 at 239 but Mississippi is #1 at 310, Louisiana is #3 at 289, Alabama is #5 at 269, Arkansas is #9 at 246.  All of those states also have high death rates lately. 

So Florida probably peaks at #2 or 3 in terms of total deaths and #4 or 5 in terms of deaths per capita.

At this rate though, NY and NJ are probably going to exit the top 10 in terms of deaths per capita and it will end up going all Southern states.
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