SirWoodbury's California Recall Prediction (user search)
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  SirWoodbury's California Recall Prediction (search mode)
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Author Topic: SirWoodbury's California Recall Prediction  (Read 2499 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« on: August 30, 2021, 09:04:21 AM »

hot take: he's not recalled and it's not super close
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2021, 10:49:00 PM »

A lot of these GOP predictions need to be preserved in some form so they aren't edited after the election occurs.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2021, 06:44:33 PM »

Still need to preserve these GOP predictions.  Results incoming...
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2021, 07:46:13 PM »

Next the Rs are gonna say Rs are gonna win VA

They're already saying this.  They unironically think Youngkin is a strong candidate. 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2021, 10:13:34 PM »

Welp...
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2021, 10:25:11 PM »

I don’t believe that the recall succeeds, but Woodbury is correct that SoCal is extremely hostile to Newsom.

Very much so.  He's currently only winning Los Angeles by 1 million raw votes.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2021, 12:10:33 AM »

Hey Woodbury the 35 percent margin in Santa Barbara wants a word.

Liking that signature block dude.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2021, 07:28:29 PM »

I just feel like "SoCal hates Newsom" was more wishful thinking from Republicans than anything else. Like maybe they were hoping that if they repeated it enough, it would come true.

Yes.  It's just a variation of their narrative that "latinos are trending Republican" and "they're finding patterns in the data."  Meanwhile the actual trend line for the GOP has been: lose California, lose New Mexico, lose Colorado, lose Nevada, and lastly lose Arizona (2020 edition). 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2021, 01:50:18 PM »

Where is SirWoodbury? I wanted to get his post election analysis.

He and THG are in a computer lab putting the finishing touches on their 2022 predictions.  Spoiler - lets just say the number of Dems in Congress is going to be less than 3 digits.
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