Illinois and Maryland, too. Hopefully gerrymandering is ended by 2030 nationwide, but for this round, there's no point in voluntarily disarming.
Virginia would be another easy one to gerrymander too. Not sure how this commission will play out but my understanding is that the courts could have the final say and I believe Dems are packing the courts here so theoretically it's possible they could gerrymander the state and they really should.
Virginia now has really bad geography for the Republicans, since most of their excess votes are logically packed into 2 Appalachia-based districts. A proportional map of Virginia would ostensibly be a Republican gerrymander, so a commission-drawn plan should naturally overrepresent Democrats.
Yes. A fair map under current 2010 population numbers should really be 3 very conservative districts, 5 safe Democratic districts and 3 somewhat competitive districts.
Under 2020 numbers there could really be 6 safe Democratic districts (4 anchored in Northern Virginia and 2 around Richmond/Virginia Beach). 2 of the safe districts would "only" be +10 Dem or so (outer parts of NOVA) while the safe GOP districts would be 50 margin vote sinks.