Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,169
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« on: May 04, 2021, 04:22:12 PM » |
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I still think the fundamentals are good for Dems retaining the house.
1) midterms = educated electorate
2) trump not on the ballot to rev up his base
3) redistricting not as favorable for GOP as it was in 2010
4) Even if GOP states gained in reapportionment, Dem areas are growing within most states while GOP (i.e., rural) areas are shrinking. So I think reapportionment might actually help Dems.
5) Biden isn't unpopular
6) GOP did well in 2020 in the House, meaning it won a lot of the very close races. That means there's a lot of low hanging fruit this time for Dems in places like Orange County, etc.
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