Likely Hillary Clinton popular vote margin and why? (user search)
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  Likely Hillary Clinton popular vote margin and why? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Hillary's popular vote will be:
#1
over 58%
 
#2
over 55%
 
#3
over 52%
 
#4
over 50%
 
#5
below 49%
 
#6
below 47%
 
#7
below 55%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Likely Hillary Clinton popular vote margin and why?  (Read 1855 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« on: June 18, 2014, 08:48:13 PM »

I'm guessing it will be about 54%.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2014, 09:04:04 PM »

A plurality victory. Something like 48.50%.

Are you assuming a third party from the left will syphon 2-3% (greens)?
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2014, 09:33:38 PM »

0%, she won't be the nominee because obviously she'll be primaried by the invincible Schweitzer juggernaut.

When did the Schweitzer shtick start? 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2014, 09:39:22 PM »

There's no remotely reliable way to predict national popular vote margins this far out.


If scientists can predict global warming decades out then people can guess on an election between 2 main parties 2 years out.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2014, 10:00:31 PM »

I'm thinking it will be somewhere in the low 60s.  Obviously I'm being generous to the GOP here.  Hillary could win up to 70% of the vote!  That's how inevitable it is.



I must have missed something, did "Never" make a new moniker?  This smells a lot like one of his posts.
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