Everyone go look at the NC voter file...
Black vote is at 22%, Civitas thinks it's 18%.
Female vote is 53%, Civitas thinks it's 50%.
Can't find any age statistics but 60% of the voting population being >50 seems too high.
I'm not gonna pull a StatesPoll but this poll is off in a lot of regards.
There needs to be a complete and total shutdown of Civitas polls until they figure out what is going on.
SurveyUSA interviewed 400 likely November voters from the entire state of North Carolina 07/31/16 through 08/02/16 using blended sample, mixed mode.
RV ≠ LV
This election is unique and the turnout might change a lot among different groups.
But still it is likely to be an outlier.
I will not use this poll. You can count on PPP getting a poll of North Carolina fairly soon, anyway. That will be worth the wait.
So you're only using polls you like now
Classic Conservative,
Even you have to admit that some of the items that Atlas members are pointing-out, do seem reasonable and the numbers could be somewhat off.
So people should still use the numbers as a base, and adjust them accordingly (slightly).
Let me ask you this : Do you believe blacks in NC support Trump 32% ?
